Bærum vs Lillestrom Prediction & Betting Tips

Two very different form lines

Bærum have won 10 of their last 20 matches in the 3. Division, scoring 58 goals and conceding 39 along the way. That's a lot of goals either way, but it points to an attacking side who are used to winning.

Bærum: 20 completed matches; Lillestrom: 20 completed matches.

Bærum

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

58

Conceded

39

Difference

+19

Lillestrom

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

55% 11 / 20

Scored

23

Conceded

33

Difference

-10

Lillestrom's record in the same span reads very differently: 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in the Eliteserien, with 23 goals for and 33 against. They've also been involved in Europa League qualifying, including a goalless draw and a narrow win over Egnatia Rrogozhinë, so their squad has had plenty on its plate.

On paper Lillestrom are the stronger side, but their domestic form doesn't suggest a team full of confidence right now.

Comparative Team Statistics: Bærum vs Lillestrom

Lillestrom's key men

The only player information we have covers Lillestrom's squad. M. Karlsbakk leads the scoring charts with two goals in his last three matches, with M. Diop and E. Kitolano also on the scoresheet in that spell.

Lillestrom:

Best scorers:

M. Karlsbakk - 2

M. Diop - 1

E. Kitolano - 1

Best assist providers:

S. Drammeh - 1

Penalty cards:

F. Elkær x 1

M. Karlsbakk x 1

R. Gabrielsen x 1

S. Drammeh has chipped in with an assist, while Karlsbakk, F. Elkær and R. Gabrielsen have each picked up a yellow card in the same run of games. There's no equivalent breakdown for Bærum's squad, so it's hard to say how the hosts' options look going into this one.

How this one could play out

Bærum arrive on the back of some big, goal-heavy results at their level, and cup ties like this often suit a home side with nothing to lose. Lillestrom's away form has been patchy too, with defeats on the road against Brann and Fredrikstad among their last few Eliteserien trips.

Still, the gap between the third tier and the Eliteserien is real, and a stretched Lillestrom squad isn't the same as a weak one. If Lillestrom's front players click, that quality could tell even without their domestic form behind them.