Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC Prediction & Betting Tips

Last updated 26 Sep 2026
Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC
USA MLS
27.09.2026    00:30
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W1
C: 2.55
X
C: 3.6
W2
C: 2.6
New York City FC
New York City FC

Atlanta United host New York City FC in Major League Soccer. Both sides arrive on the back of results that leave plenty to be desired, and neither looks fully settled at the moment.

Goals have tended to flow whenever these two have met before, and both defences have looked leaky across the season so far. That's a decent starting point for working out how this one might go.

Analysis updated .

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Neither side has found any rhythm

NYC City go into this without a win in their last five matches across all competitions, having lost three on the spin before a couple of draws steadied things a touch.

Atlanta United FC: 20 completed matches; New York City FC: 20 completed matches.

Atlanta United FC

20 matches
Win
35% 7 / 20
Draw
20% 4 / 20
Loss
45% 9 / 20
Scored
27
Conceded
33
Difference
-6

New York City FC

20 matches
Win
30% 6 / 20
Draw
25% 5 / 20
Loss
45% 9 / 20
Scored
24
Conceded
23
Difference
+1
Atlanta United FC
League Home Away Date Score
Major League Soccer Portland Timbers Atlanta United FC 20.09.2026 0-1
Major League Soccer DC United Atlanta United FC 13.09.2026 0-0
Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC Orlando City SC 10.09.2026 2-3
Major League Soccer Inter Miami Atlanta United FC 06.09.2026 2-2
Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC Charlotte 30.08.2026 0-2
Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC Sporting Kansas City 24.08.2026 2-1
Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC Atlanta United FC 20.08.2026 1-2
Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC New York Red Bulls 16.08.2026 2-1
Major League Soccer Philadelphia Union Atlanta United FC 02.08.2026 3-2
Major League Soccer New England Revolution Atlanta United FC 26.07.2026 4-1
Load more
New York City FC
League Home Away Date Score
Major League Soccer New York City FC New York Red Bulls 19.09.2026 0-1
Major League Soccer Real Salt Lake New York City FC 13.09.2026 0-2
Major League Soccer New York City FC New England Revolution 10.09.2026 1-2
Major League Soccer New York City FC Nashville SC 05.09.2026 0-0
Major League Soccer Toronto FC New York City FC 30.08.2026 1-1
Major League Soccer New England Revolution New York City FC 23.08.2026 1-1
Major League Soccer FC Cincinnati New York City FC 20.08.2026 2-1
Major League Soccer New York City FC Philadelphia Union 17.08.2026 2-3
Leagues Cup New York City FC Necaxa 14.08.2026 1-2
Leagues Cup Cruz Azul New York City FC 10.08.2026 2-1
Load more

Atlanta's recent run reads much the same. Three defeats and two draws in their last five, with no win in that stretch either.

Both teams are searching for a response rather than building on momentum.

Goals have never been far away in this fixture

The last two meetings between these two produced eleven goals between them, including a 4-3 thriller in Atlanta and a 4-0 win for NYC City the following season.

Head 2 Head
League Home Away Date Score
Major League Soccer New York City FC Atlanta United FC 13.06.2025 4-0
Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC New York City FC 30.03.2025 4-3
Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC New York City FC 18.07.2024 2-2
Major League Soccer New York City FC Atlanta United FC 07.04.2024 1-1
Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC New York City FC 22.06.2023 2-2
Major League Soccer New York City FC Atlanta United FC 09.04.2023 1-1
Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC New York City FC 09.10.2022 1-2
Major League Soccer New York City FC Atlanta United FC 04.07.2022 2-2
Major League Soccer New York City FC Atlanta United FC 21.11.2021 2-0
Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC New York City FC 21.10.2021 1-1
Load more

Look back further and it's a similar theme. Plenty of these games have finished with goals at both ends rather than tight, cagey affairs.

This fixture has a habit of getting stretched open.

The table tells a different story to current form

NYC City currently sit tenth, well clear of Atlanta down in fourteenth, with a healthy points cushion between them.

№ Team Played Win Draw Loss GF/GA Points
Eastern Conference
1 Nashville SC 26 17 6 3 53/21 57
2 New England Revolution 26 14 4 8 45/33 46
3 Inter Miami 26 12 10 4 63/48 46
4 Charlotte 26 12 7 7 47/37 43
5 Chicago Fire 25 11 6 8 45/38 39
6 Philadelphia Union 26 10 6 10 50/42 36
7 Orlando City SC 26 10 4 12 46/60 34
8 New York Red Bulls 26 9 6 11 34/48 33
9 FC Cincinnati 25 8 9 8 54/61 33
10 New York City FC 26 8 8 10 39/34 32
11 DC United 25 6 11 8 31/39 29
12 Toronto FC 26 6 11 9 39/49 29
13 Columbus Crew 26 7 5 14 37/42 26
14 Atlanta United FC 26 7 5 14 30/43 26
15 CF Montreal 26 5 6 15 31/53 21

That gap suggests Atlanta have had the harder campaign overall, even though neither side's recent form really reflects their league position right now.

International duty leaves both squads thinner

Atlanta are missing several regulars away on international commitments, including Almirón, Alonso, Diaz and Miranchuk, while Sergio Santos, Picault and Alzate are also managing fitness concerns.

Atlanta United FC:
Penalty cards:
E. Mihaj red card x 1 red card x 4
T. Jacob red card x 8
Injury list:
Sergio Santos
F. Picault
M. Almiron
J. Alonso
P. Diaz
A. Miranchuk
S. Alzate
T. Jacob
New York City FC:
Best scorers:
N. Fernández Mercau - 15
Best assist providers:
A. Ojeda - 8
Penalty cards:
N. Fernández Mercau red card x 8
Injury list:
D. Baiera
A. Farnos
M. Freese
T. Gray
M. Ilenic
M. Moralez
A. O'Neill
K. Parks
Talles Magno
K. Trewin

NYC City have their own absentees for the same reason, with Freese, Gray, Ilenic and O'Neill away, plus a few players carrying knocks including Talles Magno and Kevin Parks.

Both managers could be forced into changes from their usual setup.

Where the value looks to sit

Both defences have shipped goals regularly this season, and the history between these two backs that up as well. Add in two sides short on confidence and prone to conceding, and goals feel like the more consistent thread running through this matchup.

Neither team looks like it's about to suddenly turn defensively solid, which points towards another open contest rather than a tight one.

Match odds and squad lists
MATCH RESULT (1x2)
W1: 2.55
Х: 3.6
W2: 2.6
Handicap
Atlanta United FC
New York City FC
Handicap (-2.5): 8.90
Handicap (-2.5): 1.01
Handicap (-2): 8.30
Handicap (-2): 1.02
Handicap (-1.75): 5.90
Handicap (-1.75): 1.13
Handicap (-1.5): 4.40
Handicap (-1.5): 1.20
Handicap (-1.25): 4.10
Handicap (-1.25): 1.23
Handicap (-1): 3.70
Handicap (-1): 1.26
Handicap (-0.75): 2.75
Handicap (-0.75): 1.42
Handicap (-0.5): 2.38
Handicap (-0.5): 1.55
Handicap (-0.25): 2.08
Handicap (-0.25): 1.72
Handicap (0): 1.88
Handicap (0): 1.92
Handicap (0.25): 1.58
Handicap (0.25): 2.35
Handicap (0.5): 1.45
Handicap (0.5): 2.68
Handicap (0.75): 1.32
Handicap (0.75): 3.30
Handicap (1): 1.20
Handicap (1): 4.40
Handicap (1.25): 1.18
Handicap (1.25): 4.80
Handicap (1.5): 1.15
Handicap (1.5): 5.50
Handicap (1.75): 1.10
Handicap (1.75): 7.00
Handicap (2): 1.01
Handicap (2): 8.60
Handicap (2.5): 1.03
Handicap (2.5): 9.20
Total
Over
Under
Over (0.5): 1.03
Under (0.5): 15.00
Over (1.25): 1.08
Under (1): 9.20
Over (1.5): 1.18
Under (1.25): 5.65
Over (1.75): 1.19
Under (1.5): 4.50
Over (2): 1.25
Under (1.75): 3.74
Over (2.25): 1.43
Under (2): 3.34
Over (2.5): 1.62
Under (2.25): 2.53
Over (2.75): 1.74
Under (2.5): 2.25
Over (3): 1.95
Under (2.75): 1.93
Over (3.25): 2.19
Under (3): 1.70
Over (3.5): 2.50
Under (3.25): 1.54
Over (3.75): 2.83
Under (3.5): 1.50
Over (4): 3.58
Under (3.75): 1.33
Over (4.25): 3.94
Under (4): 1.21
Over (4.5): 4.33
Under (4.25): 1.17
Over (4.75): 5.25
Under (4.5): 1.20
Over (5): 7.10
Under (4.75): 1.09
Over (5.5): 9.00
Under (5): 1.04
Over (6.5): 19.00
Under (5.5): 1.07
Over (7.5): 34.00
Under (6.5): 1.02
More odds

Squad and player details

Atlanta United FC
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
B. Embolo Switzerland 29 Attacker 187 84
A. Miranchuk Russia 30 Midfielder 182 74
Juan Berrocal Spain 27 Defender 187 72
R. Hernández Venezuela 29 Defender 171 70
J. Alonso Paraguay 33 Defender 185 83
M. Almirón Paraguay 32 Attacker 174 70
P. Díaz Chile 32 Defender 178 76
L. Hoyos Argentina 37 Goalkeeper 183 76
G. Galoppo Argentina 27 Midfielder 180 78
S. Lobzhanidze Georgia 31 Attacker 176 72
S. Alzate Colombia 28 Midfielder 180 75
E. Mihaj Albania 28 Defender 186 78
E. Latte Lath Côte d'Ivoire 27 Attacker 177 75
C. Togashi Japan 33 Attacker 178 75
Pedro Amador Portugal 27 Defender 181 73
S. Gregersen Norway 31 Defender 192 83
F. Picault Haiti 35 Attacker 173 63
Sergio Santos Brazil 32 Attacker 183 84
T. Muyumba France 29 Midfielder 165 54
William Reilly USA 23 Midfielder 178 72
New York City FC
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
H. Wolf Austria 27 Attacker 179 69
A. O'Neill Australia 28 Midfielder 180 79
A. Perea USA 25 Midfielder 182 72
Raul Gustavo Brazil 27 Defender n/a n/a
S. Tanasijević Serbia 29 Defender 183 73
Thiago Martins Brazil 31 Defender 185 78
M. Freese USA 28 Goalkeeper 190 88
K. Parks USA 29 Midfielder 191 81
M. Moralez Argentina 39 Midfielder 160 52
J. Sands USA 26 Defender 186 84
G. Ranjitsingh Trinidad and Tobago 33 Goalkeeper 188 91
Talles Magno Brazil 24 Attacker 185 70
N. Fernández Mercau Argentina 26 Midfielder 172 71
A. Martínez Costa Rica 27 Attacker 177 72
T. Romero El Salvador 25 Goalkeeper 188 86
K. O'Toole USA 27 Midfielder 178 68
K. Trewin Australia 25 Defender n/a n/a
T. Gray Jamaica 24 Defender 180 74
B. Traoré Côte d'Ivoire 23 Attacker 172 68
M. Ilenič Slovenia 21 Defender 178 71

Given how open recent meetings between these two have been, and how leaky both defences have looked all season, backing goals feels like the sturdier route here.

Neither team's current form gives much confidence in a repeat clean sheet, so the over looks like the more sensible angle even with a few key faces missing through international duty.

Who will win?


Atlanta United FC (0%)
Draw (0%)
New York City FC (0%)
Vitory Santos
Author
Last updated: September 2026
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