AS Roma vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Last updated 27 Sep 2026
AS Roma
AS Roma
UEFA Champions League
14.10.2026    20:00
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Real Madrid
Real Madrid

AS Roma host Real Madrid in the Champions League. Both clubs have won plenty of matches over the past year, though neither has had it entirely smooth lately.

This is effectively round two of this season's league phase for each side, with Real Madrid coming off a home win and Roma settling for a draw first time out. That leaves both looking to build momentum rather than defend a big lead.

Analysis updated .

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Form check

Real Madrid's numbers across their last 20 matches look strong on paper - 15 wins, 44 goals scored, only 19 conceded - though that sample blends La Liga, Champions League and pre-season friendlies from two different campaigns. More relevant right now, their last two competitive outings have both ended in defeat: away at Real Betis, then away at Atletico Madrid.

AS Roma: 20 completed matches; Real Madrid: 20 completed matches.

AS Roma

20 matches
Win
60% 12 / 20
Draw
25% 5 / 20
Loss
15% 3 / 20
Scored
45
Conceded
25
Difference
+20

Real Madrid

20 matches
Win
75% 15 / 20
Draw
10% 2 / 20
Loss
15% 3 / 20
Scored
44
Conceded
19
Difference
+25
AS Roma
League Home Away Date Score
Serie A AS Roma Inter 19.09.2026 2-2
Serie A Torino AS Roma 14.09.2026 0-2
UEFA Champions League Fenerbahçe AS Roma 10.09.2026 1-1
Serie A AS Roma Atalanta 05.09.2026 2-1
Serie A Lecce AS Roma 31.08.2026 0-4
Serie A AS Roma Fiorentina 24.08.2026 4-0
Friendlies Clubs Borussia Dortmund AS Roma 15.08.2026 2-2
Friendlies Clubs Brighton AS Roma 08.08.2026 3-0
Friendlies Clubs Newport County AS Roma 04.08.2026 1-4
Friendlies Clubs Cardiff AS Roma 01.08.2026 4-1
Load more
Real Madrid
League Home Away Date Score
La Liga Atletico Madrid Real Madrid 20.09.2026 2-1
La Liga Elche Real Madrid 15.09.2026 2-3
La Liga Real Madrid Rayo Vallecano 12.09.2026 4-1
UEFA Champions League Real Madrid Inter 08.09.2026 2-1
La Liga Real Betis Real Madrid 04.09.2026 1-0
La Liga Real Madrid Malaga 30.08.2026 4-0
La Liga Real Madrid Real Sociedad 26.08.2026 4-1
La Liga Espanyol Real Madrid 22.08.2026 1-2
Friendlies Clubs FC Schalke 04 Real Madrid 16.08.2026 0-3
Friendlies Clubs Deportivo La Coruna Real Madrid 12.08.2026 0-1
Load more

Roma's overall record over a similar stretch is more modest - 12 wins from 20, with 25 goals conceded - but their recent shape is different. Since late August they've won four and drawn two of their last six across Serie A and the Champions League, including a big away win at Lecce and a draw at Fenerbahçe in this competition.

Roma's recent run reads better than Real Madrid's most recent results, even if the season-long totals favour the visitors.

Comparative Team Statistics: AS Roma vs Real Madrid

AS Roma vs Real Madrid statistics: team strength, attack, defence and head-to-head comparison.

History between the sides

The five recorded meetings between these clubs all came between 2016 and 2018, split across Champions League knockout ties and a pre-season friendly, and Real Madrid won every one of them.

Head 2 Head
League Home Away Date Score
UEFA Champions League AS Roma Real Madrid 27.11.2018 0-2
UEFA Champions League Real Madrid AS Roma 19.09.2018 3-0
International Champions Cup Real Madrid AS Roma 08.08.2018 2-1
UEFA Champions League Real Madrid AS Roma 08.03.2016 2-0
UEFA Champions League AS Roma Real Madrid 17.02.2016 0-2

That's interesting background, but both squads have turned over heavily since then, so it doesn't tell us much about how this version of the fixture will play out.

Where they stand in this Champions League phase

Both teams have played just one match in this season's league phase so far. Real Madrid won theirs 2-1, matching their home victory over Inter, while Roma drew 1-1 away at Fenerbahçe.

№ Team Played Win Draw Loss GF/GA Points
13 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 2/1 3
14 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 2/1 3
15 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 1/0 3
16 AEK Athens FC 1 1 0 0 1/0 3
17 AS Roma 1 0 1 0 1/1 1
18 Shakhtar Donetsk 1 0 1 0 1/1 1

That's only one result each, so the current placings - Real Madrid 14th, Roma 17th - are provisional rather than a settled picture of where either side sits.

AS Roma vs Real Madrid: UEFA Champions League match preview with team badges and kick-off details.

What's at stake here

This is round two of the league phase for both clubs, each trying to build on an opening result rather than protect one. Real Madrid will want to shake off back-to-back league defeats before this trip, while Roma will fancy carrying their unbeaten recent run into a home European night.

Squad lists and player details

Squad and player details

AS Roma
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
L. Balerdi Argentina 27 Defender 187 76
D. Malen Netherlands 27 Attacker 176 68
M. Svilar Serbia 27 Goalkeeper 189 77
B. Cristante Italy 31 Midfielder 186 80
L. Pellegrini Italy 30 Midfielder 186 77
P. Dybala Argentina 32 Midfielder 177 75
E. Ndicka Côte d'Ivoire 27 Defender 192 82
Hermoso Spain 31 Defender 184 75
N. Molina Argentina 28 Defender 179 70
M. Koné France 25 Midfielder 185 80
P. Gollini Italy 31 Goalkeeper 194 94
G. Mancini Italy 30 Defender 190 77
M. de Roon Netherlands 35 Midfielder 186 76
K. Koulierakis Greece 22 Defender 188 78
D. Rensch Netherlands 23 Midfielder 181 75
N. El Aynaoui Morocco 25 Midfielder 185 77
S. Castro Argentina 22 Attacker 180 80
M. Soulé Argentina 23 Midfielder 182 76
D. Ghilardi Italy 23 Defender 189 77
Wesley Brazil 23 Midfielder 173 73
Real Madrid
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
D. Dumfries Netherlands 30 Defender 188 80
Kylian Mbappé France 27 Attacker 178 75
T. Alexander-Arnold England 27 Midfielder 175 67
Bernardo Silva Portugal 32 Midfielder 173 65
T. Courtois Belgium 34 Goalkeeper 200 96
Brahim Díaz Morocco 27 Midfielder 171 59
F. Valverde Uruguay 28 Midfielder 182 78
Vinícius Júnior Brazil 26 Midfielder 176 73
I. Konaté France 27 Defender 194 95
A. Tchouaméni France 26 Midfielder 187 81
E. Camavinga France 23 Midfielder 182 68
A. Rüdiger Germany 33 Defender 190 85
Marc Cucurella Spain 28 Defender 174 66
A. Lunin Ukraine 27 Goalkeeper 191 80
J. Bellingham England 23 Midfielder 186 75
Álvaro Fernández Spain 23 Defender 186 78
A. Güler Türkiye 21 Midfielder 176 67
Raúl Asencio Spain 23 Defender 184 79
D. Huijsen Netherlands 21 Defender 195 87
Endrick Brazil 20 Attacker 173 66

Real Madrid clearly have scoring power over the last year, but they've lost two of their last three matches, including their most recent one. Roma, by contrast, have looked steadier lately and go into this unbeaten in six.

With no market reference available and both sides only one league-phase game into their European campaign, we're happy to sit this one out rather than force a pick.

Who will win?


AS Roma (0%)
Draw (0%)
Real Madrid (0%)
Nick Mordin.
Author
Last updated: September 2026
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