AS Roma vs Fiorentina Predictions and Match Preview

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Mark your calendar for 04.05.2026 when AS Roma and Fiorentina battle it out in the Itallian Serie A. With a slim advantage, AS Roma is poised for a challenging game. Our in-depth preview explores everything from player fitness to tactical matchups. Check our prediction for insights that could impact your betting approach.

Standings of both teams

Key Player Statistics: AS Roma vs Fiorentina

AS Roma:

Best scorers:

D. Malen - 11

Best assist providers:

M. Soulé - 5

Penalty cards:

Z. Çelik x 1 x 2

Injury list:

E. Bove

S. El Shaarawy

E. Ferguson

Fiorentina:

Best scorers:

M. Kean - 8

Penalty cards:

A. Guðmundsson x 1 x 3

Injury list:

A. Sabiri

A. Richardson

M. Kean

D. Rugani

AS Roma vs Fiorentina Historical Match Results

Comparative Team Statistics: AS Roma VS Fiorentina

Last 20 Matches Statistics: AS Roma vs Fiorentina

AS Roma:

Win/Draw/Loss:

Win: 40%

Draw: 30%

Loss: 30%

Scored/Conceded:

Scored: 35

Conceded: 26

Fiorentina:

Win/Draw/Loss:

Win: 45%

Draw: 25%

Loss: 30%

Scored/Conceded:

Scored: 27

Conceded: 26

Bookies' predictions

Win
AS Roma

1.7

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Draw

3.8

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Win Fiorentina

4.55

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Betting Intelligence: AS Roma vs Fiorentina

There are games that look straightforward on paper, and then there's AS Roma vs Fiorentina. Don't be fooled by the mainstream narrative that this is just a mid-table Serie A clash with nothing to play for. Roma sit sixth with 61 points and a genuine shot at European qualification. Fiorentina, on the other hand, are down in 15th with just 37 points from the same number of games. The gap is enormous, and the stakes couldn't feel more different for these two sides.

Roma come into this in solid form. Back-to-back wins over Pisa and at Bologna showed real character, and Dušan Malen has been quietly sensational. Eleven goals in just 14 matches is a stunning return. He is a nightmare for any defence right now, and I fully expect him to be the difference here.

Here's what you need to watch for — Fiorentina's top scorer Moise Kean is listed as questionable with both an ankle and a muscle injury. That's a massive blow for the visitors. Without him, they managed just a 0-0 draw at home to Sassuolo last time out. Their attack looks toothless when Kean isn't leading the line.

Here's the surprising statistical detail casual fans will miss: Fiorentina have conceded 45 league goals this season, making them one of the leakier defences in the top half of Serie A's table. Meanwhile Roma have scored 48 and leaked only 29. That +19 goal difference versus Fiorentina's -7 tells you everything about the gulf between these teams right now.

The head-to-head record has been gloriously unpredictable over the years, but recent history leans Roma's way at the Olimpico. Two wins in their last two meetings, including a 1-0 just months ago, suggests the home side know how to grind Fiorentina down.

From a betting perspective, Roma at 1.70 looks like genuine value given the current form gap and Kean's fitness concerns. For the bolder play, back Malen to score anytime — he's in the form of his life. A Roma win with both teams scoring at a combined market offers excellent coverage. I'd also keep an eye on the Roma -1 Asian handicap market.

My bold prediction: Roma win 2-0, Malen grabs one, and Fiorentina fail to register a single shot on target in the second half.

Roma are hunting European glory. Fiorentina are fighting just to stay relevant. That hunger difference. That's your edge. Don't miss it.

What's Your Pick?

AS Roma

Itallian Serie A

04.05.2026    19:45

Fiorentina



AS Roma

Draw

Fiorentina

AS Roma (0%)

Draw (0%)

Fiorentina (0%)

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Our AS Roma vs Fiorentina betting prediction

Result win AS Roma

1.7 х

+ 100%

= €0

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Handicap Fiorentina (-1)

1.62 х

+ 100%

= €0

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Total Under (3.5)

1.33 х

+ 100%

= €0

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Team Lineups and Player Details:

AS Roma vs Fiorentina match odds

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David Sklansky

Author

Last updated: April 2026