Casa Pia versus Tondela in the Portugal Primeira Liga on 03.05.2026 is not just a game; it’s a showcase of football prowess. Our detailed prediction analyzes both teams’ strategies and form. Explore our insights, compare Casa Pia and Tondela, and use this knowledge to place your bets.
Standings of both teams
| № | Team | Played | Win | Draw | Loss | GF/GA | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34/51 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29/55 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 21/50 | 21 |
| 18 | AVS | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22/65 | 14 |
Key Player Statistics: Casa Pia vs Tondela
x 1 
x 3 x 13
x 2 x 9Casa Pia vs Tondela Historical Match Results
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | Tondela | Casa Pia | 21.12.2025 | 1-2 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | GIL Vicente | Casa Pia | 27.04.2026 | 2-1 |
| Primeira Liga | Casa Pia | SC Braga | 23.04.2026 | 0-1 |
| Primeira Liga | Casa Pia | Santa Clara | 18.04.2026 | 0-0 |
| Primeira Liga | Alverca | Casa Pia | 12.04.2026 | 3-1 |
| Primeira Liga | Casa Pia | Benfica | 06.04.2026 | 1-1 |
| Primeira Liga | Estrela | Casa Pia | 20.03.2026 | 4-0 |
| Primeira Liga | Estoril | Casa Pia | 07.03.2026 | 0-0 |
| Primeira Liga | Casa Pia | Moreirense | 01.03.2026 | 1-1 |
| Primeira Liga | Famalicao | Casa Pia | 23.02.2026 | 2-0 |
| Primeira Liga | Casa Pia | Arouca | 14.02.2026 | 3-2 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | Tondela | Nacional | 25.04.2026 | 0-2 |
| Primeira Liga | FC Porto | Tondela | 19.04.2026 | 2-0 |
| Primeira Liga | Tondela | GIL Vicente | 13.04.2026 | 2-2 |
| Primeira Liga | Guimaraes | Tondela | 03.04.2026 | 5-0 |
| Primeira Liga | Tondela | AVS | 21.03.2026 | 0-0 |
| Primeira Liga | Tondela | Rio Ave | 09.03.2026 | 0-1 |
| Primeira Liga | Tondela | Santa Clara | 01.03.2026 | 2-2 |
| Primeira Liga | Estrela | Tondela | 20.02.2026 | 0-2 |
| Primeira Liga | Tondela | Alverca | 13.02.2026 | 1-1 |
| Primeira Liga | Estoril | Tondela | 07.02.2026 | 2-2 |
Comparative Team Statistics: Casa Pia VS Tondela
Last 20 Matches Statistics: Casa Pia vs Tondela
Bookies' predictions
Casa Pia
Betting Intelligence: Casa Pia vs Tondela
This is as close to a must-win game as it gets. Casa Pia host Tondela in what is, essentially, a battle for Primeira Liga survival. With just five points separating 16th-placed Casa Pia from 17th-placed Tondela, Saturday's clash could define which side is still playing top-flight football next season.
Casa Pia sit on 26 points from 30 games. Tondela have just 21. Every single point matters here, and both sides know it.
The home advantage could be crucial. Casa Pia already beat Tondela 2-1 away back in December, and that's the only head-to-head data we have — but it tells you plenty. Casa Pia got the job done when it mattered on enemy territory. Now they have the backing of their own fans. That counts.
Here's what you need to watch for: Casa Pia's creative engine runs through J. Livolant, who has racked up an impressive eight assists in 30 league appearances. That's genuine quality in a struggling side. If Tondela can't neutralize him, they will be punished.
Don't be fooled by the mainstream narrative that this is just two poor teams slugging it out. Casa Pia held Benfica to a draw and beat FC Porto at home this season. There's more quality here than the league table suggests.
Now here's the surprising stat that caught my eye. Tondela have scored just 21 goals in 30 games — the worst attacking return of the two sides. They've kept things tight occasionally, like their 0-0 against Benfica, but their recent form is alarming. They've lost their last two, conceding four goals, including a 5-0 hammering by Guimarães. That kind of collapse leaves psychological scars.
One more thing to watch: David Sousa of Casa Pia has seen 13 yellow cards in 22 appearances. Tondela's Medina has also collected nine yellows and a red. This game will be feisty. The cards market looks very attractive here, and I'd strongly consider backing over 3.5 bookings.
My prediction? Casa Pia win 2-0. They're at home, they're better in attack, and Tondela are running on empty. At odds of 2.38, Casa Pia represent genuine value. Back them with confidence.
When that final whistle blows, the distance between survival and relegation could feel enormous. Sunday morning will be very different for one of these clubs. Make sure you're watching.
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Our Casa Pia vs Tondela betting prediction
Team Lineups and Player Details:
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Fonte | Portugal | 42 | Defender | 187 | 81 |
| Cassiano | Brazil | 36 | Attacker | 184 | 87 |
| J. Livolant | France | 28 | Midfielder | 175 | 70 |
| D. Tchamba | Cameroon | 27 | Defender | 191 | 78 |
| Geraldes | Portugal | 35 | Defender | 180 | 70 |
| Kiki | Portugal | 28 | Attacker | 172 | 65 |
| Pablo Roberto | Brazil | 26 | Midfielder | 183 | 75 |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | Spain | 28 | Defender | 181 | 73 |
| Rafael Brito | Portugal | 24 | Midfielder | 183 | 74 |
| P. Sequeira | Costa Rica | 27 | Goalkeeper | 190 | 84 |
| João Goulart | Portugal | 26 | Defender | 191 | 88 |
| K. Nsona | France | 23 | Midfielder | 189 | 74 |
| Y. Oukili | Morocco | 25 | Midfielder | 195 | 88 |
| F. Benaissa-Yahia | France | 24 | Defender | 188 | 80 |
| Raúl Blanco | Spain | 24 | Midfielder | 173 | 65 |
| Ivan Mandić | Croatia | 23 | Goalkeeper | 196 | n/a |
| K. Osundina | USA | 22 | Attacker | 183 | 75 |
| Renato Nhaga | Guinea-Bissau | 19 | Midfielder | 176 | 66 |
| Afonso Vieira | Portugal | 19 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| Miguel Neves | Portugal | 18 | Attacker | 178 | n/a |
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Maranhão | Brazil | 27 | Midfielder | 172 | n/a |
| João Afonso | Portugal | 35 | Defender | 188 | 84 |
| Talocha | Portugal | 36 | Defender | 180 | 76 |
| Cícero | Brazil | 28 | Midfielder | 178 | 66 |
| Hélder Tavares | Cape Verde | 36 | Midfielder | 180 | 74 |
| Tiago Manso | Portugal | 26 | Defender | 174 | 66 |
| Xabi Huarte | Spain | 25 | Midfielder | 172 cm | 64 kg |
| J. Hodge | Republic of Ireland | 23 | Midfielder | 172 | 65 |
| E. Maviram | Nigeria | 25 | Defender | 168 | 64 |
| João Cesco | Brazil | 25 | Defender | 189 | n/a |
| Nuno Cunha | Portugal | 25 | Midfielder | 178 | 70 |
| B. Medina | Colombia | 24 | Defender | 180 | 81 |
| Bernardo Fontes | Brazil | 23 | Goalkeeper | 196 | 90 |
| Cascavel | Portugal | 21 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| Y. Rodriguez | Colombia | 20 | Attacker | 189 cm | 80 kg |
| J. RodrÃguez | Ecuador | 20 | Midfielder | 175 | 66 |
| Afonso Rodrigues | Portugal | 23 | Attacker | 178 cm | 66 kg |
| Miro | Angola | 23 | Attacker | 184 | 76 |
| Diego Tavares | Portugal | 21 | Defender | 185 | 78 |
| Yarlen | Brazil | 20 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
Casa Pia vs Tondela match odds
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