Argentina vs Uruguay Prediction

Argentina's form is miles ahead of Uruguay's

Argentina have won 17 of their last 20 matches, with just one draw and two defeats in that run. Both those losses came in the latter stages of the World Cup, against England and then Spain, before Argentina went back to winning ways with big friendly scorelines against Benin, Burkina Faso and Bolivia this October.

Argentina: 20 completed matches; Uruguay: 20 completed matches.

Argentina

20 matches

Win

85% 17 / 20

Draw

5% 1 / 20

Loss

10% 2 / 20

Scored

54

Conceded

12

Difference

+42

Uruguay

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

50% 10 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

17

Difference

+7

Uruguay's sample tells a different story. Ten draws in 20 matches is a lot, and their World Cup ended with two draws and a loss, suggesting they didn't really get going at that tournament. Their most recent friendlies have been mixed too, wins over South Korea and India followed by a loss to Japan.

On current form, Argentina look the far sharper side heading into this one.

Comparative Team Statistics: Argentina vs Uruguay

Argentina have had the upper hand lately

Looking back over the last nine meetings between these two, Argentina have won five, Uruguay two, with two draws. The most recent meeting, a World Cup qualifier in March 2025, went Argentina's way too, a narrow 1-0 win away in Montevideo.

Older meetings stretch back to 2015 and cover different competitions, so they're less useful as a guide to current strength, but the recent trend clearly favours Argentina.

A couple of names picking up cards

There's not much in the way of team news here, but it's worth flagging that both V. Barco for Argentina and J. Giménez for Uruguay have picked up two yellow cards in their last three appearances. It's a small sample, but it hints referees might be quick to reach for the cards if either player is involved in this one.

Argentina:

Penalty cards:

V. Barco x 2

Uruguay:

Penalty cards:

J. Giménez x 2

A friendly after a big year for both countries

This is a friendly, so there's no qualification or tournament stake riding on it. Argentina arrive with real momentum after a deep World Cup run, even though it ended in back-to-back defeats, and they've since put together some comfortable wins against weaker opposition.

Uruguay, by contrast, look like a side still searching for consistency after an underwhelming World Cup campaign. Friendlies can bring squad rotation and experimentation, so how seriously either manager treats this fixture is worth bearing in mind.