Arbroath vs Ayr Utd Prediction

Form check: Ayr Utd on the front foot

Ayr Utd's recent record reads well across their last twenty matches in all competitions, with eleven wins against six defeats and a healthy goal difference. They won their last outing 3-2 at home to Queen's Park, though they did lose away at Partick and draw with Dunfermline in the games before that, so it's not been flawless.

What could your bet return?

1

Arbroath to win

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Odds2.75

Potential return

£55.00

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X

Draw

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Odds3.2

Potential return

£64.00

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2

Ayr Utd to win

Your stake£

Odds2.3

Potential return

£46.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Arbroath: 20 completed matches; Ayr Utd: 20 completed matches.

Arbroath

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

55% 11 / 20

Scored

16

Conceded

31

Difference

-15

Ayr Utd

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

21

Difference

+11

Arbroath's run has been tougher. Seven wins from twenty, with eleven defeats and more goals conceded than scored. Their most recent match ended in a 0-4 home loss to Raith Rovers, which is a rough way to head into this one.

Ayr Utd arrive with the stronger recent body of work, even if their own form has had a few bumps.

Comparative Team Statistics: Arbroath vs Ayr Utd

Recent head-to-head favours the visitors

Looking back over the last several meetings between these two, Ayr Utd have had the better of it. Their last visit to Arbroath produced a 2-0 win, and before that there's a 4-0 League Cup win and a 5-0 league win in the mix too, alongside a run of draws.

Arbroath have won in this fixture before and there have been plenty of draws scattered through the history, so it's not a complete one-way story, but the balance of recent results clearly tilts towards Ayr Utd.

Where they sit in the table

Ayr Utd are seventh with fifteen points from twelve games, while Arbroath sit just below them in eighth on eleven points from thirteen. Arbroath have played an extra match and still trail on points.

The goal difference gap is more telling. Ayr Utd are close to level on goals scored and conceded, whereas Arbroath have shipped a lot more than they've scored. Neither side is sitting pretty, but Ayr Utd's numbers look tidier.

How this one might play out

Put the form, head-to-head record and table together and it points one way. Ayr Utd come in with the better recent results, a flattering head-to-head record against this opponent, and a healthier position in the table.

Arbroath's home form this season hasn't been convincing either, which makes it harder to lean on home advantage alone. The goals market sits close to the middle at 2.25, which fits a game that could go either way on chances created even if the overall edge leans towards the away side.

Key player statistics: Arbroath vs Ayr Utd

Ayr Utd:

Penalty cards:

J. Bonnar x 1