Angola host Malawi in Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. Angola have been winning regularly through this campaign while Malawi have found results much harder to come by.
The two sides met in last year's COSAFA Cup, with Angola coming out on top. That's a decent starting point before we get into how both teams have been playing since then.
Analysis updated .
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Very different recent pictures
Angola's broader form figures look strong across the board, with ten wins from eighteen matches and only two defeats, scoring freely along the way. That run covers different competitions, so it's a sign of general competitiveness rather than a guaranteed qualifying script.
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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.
Angola: 18 completed matches; Malawi: 16 completed matches.
Angola
- Win
- 55.6% 10 / 18
- Draw
- 33.3% 6 / 18
- Loss
- 11.1% 2 / 18
- Scored
- 29
- Conceded
- 12
- Difference
- +17
Malawi
- Win
- 12.5% 2 / 16
- Draw
- 37.5% 6 / 16
- Loss
- 50% 8 / 16
- Scored
- 9
- Conceded
- 17
- Difference
- -8
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendlies | Angola | Central African Republic | 09.06.2026 | 3-0 |
| Friendlies | Angola | Mauritania | 05.06.2026 | 1-1 |
| Africa Cup of Nations | Angola | Egypt | 29.12.2025 | 0-0 |
| Africa Cup of Nations | Angola | Zimbabwe | 26.12.2025 | 1-1 |
| Africa Cup of Nations | South Africa | Angola | 22.12.2025 | 2-1 |
| Friendlies | Angola | Zambia | 18.11.2025 | 3-2 |
| Friendlies | Angola | Argentina | 14.11.2025 | 0-2 |
| COSAFA Cup | Angola | South Africa | 15.06.2025 | 3-0 |
| COSAFA Cup | Angola | Madagascar | 13.06.2025 | 4-1 |
| COSAFA Cup | Malawi | Angola | 10.06.2025 | 0-1 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendlies | Ethiopia | Malawi | 09.06.2026 | 1-1 |
| Friendlies | Ethiopia | Malawi | 06.06.2026 | 1-0 |
| Friendlies | Botswana | Malawi | 31.03.2026 | 1-0 |
| Friendlies | Zambia U23 | Malawi | 28.03.2026 | 0-0 |
| Friendlies | Lesotho | Malawi | 18.11.2025 | 0-1 |
| Friendlies | Lesotho | Malawi | 15.11.2025 | 0-0 |
| Friendlies | Malawi | Botswana | 06.07.2025 | 1-1 |
| COSAFA Cup | Malawi | Angola | 10.06.2025 | 0-1 |
| COSAFA Cup | Namibia | Malawi | 08.06.2025 | 0-0 |
| COSAFA Cup | Malawi | Lesotho | 05.06.2025 | 0-1 |
Malawi's numbers tell the opposite story. Just two wins in sixteen games, eight defeats, and they've shipped nearly twice as many goals as they've scored. A lot of that sample is friendlies and COSAFA football, but the pattern of conceding freely stands out.
Angola look the more reliable side heading in, though neither record is purely qualifying form.
Comparative Team Statistics: Angola vs Malawi
One recent meeting, Angola came out ahead
The only head-to-head meeting we have is from last summer's COSAFA Cup, when Angola won away at Malawi. It's a single result from a different competition, so it shouldn't carry too much weight on its own, but it does line up with the wider trend of Angola being the stronger side between the two right now.
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COSAFA Cup | Malawi | Angola | 10.06.2025 | 0-1 |
Angola sit well clear in the group
Angola are top of their qualifying group after six games, unbeaten with four wins and two draws, and they've conceded just twice. Malawi are down in third with one win, a draw and four defeats, shipping eleven goals in that time.
| № | Team | Played | Win | Draw | Loss | GF/GA | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group F | |||||||
| 1 | Angola | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7/2 | 14 |
| 2 | Sudan | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4/6 | 8 |
| 3 | Niger | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7/6 | 7 |
| 4 | Ghana | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3/7 | 3 |
| Group L | |||||||
| 1 | Senegal | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8/1 | 13 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10/7 | 10 |
| 3 | Malawi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6/11 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4/9 | 4 |
That's a sizeable gap in points and goal difference over a reasonable sample of qualifiers, not just friendlies. It backs up what the recent form figures suggest about where each side stands.
The group table supports Angola as clear favourites on current evidence.
How this one could play out
Angola at home, unbeaten in the group and conceding next to nothing, look well placed against a Malawi side that's lost more qualifiers than they've won and struggled defensively on the road. The COSAFA meeting last year also went Angola's way.
The obvious risk is that Malawi come to defend first, try to keep things tight, and make it a low-scoring night rather than letting Angola cut loose the way they have against weaker opposition elsewhere.
Key player statistics: Angola vs Malawi
x 1 x 1Match odds and squad lists
Squad and player details
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Petro | Malawi | 25 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| M. Malango | Congo | 29 | Attacker | 183 cm | 84 kg |
Putting the group table, the recent form split and the head-to-head together, Angola look the clearly stronger side here. Nothing in Malawi's recent results suggests they can match that at home.
A straight match-winner bet on Angola doesn't leave much room for error, so backing them to win by more than a single goal feels like the fairer way to reflect how one-sided this looks on paper.
Match result odds
Who will win?
