Ajax vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips

Two sides going through mixed patches

Ajax have won 13 of their last 20 at home, with 52 goals scored, but the runs either side of that headline number are choppy. They've beaten Willem II 5-1 and Fortuna Sittard have beaten them 5-1 the other way, and there was a 1-3 home loss to PSV mixed in too.

Ajax: 20 completed matches; Atalanta: 20 completed matches.

Ajax

20 matches

Win

65% 13 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

52

Conceded

26

Difference

+26

Atalanta

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

25

Conceded

21

Difference

+4

Atalanta's away record over the same stretch reads 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses from 20, with 25 scored and 21 conceded. Recent trips have been decent, wins at Juventus and Roma stand out, but they also lost at Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Conference League and were beaten by Cagliari at home.

Neither team's recent record points to a settled, reliable pattern in either direction.

Comparative Team Statistics: Ajax vs Atalanta

Past meetings don't tell us much

There have only been two meetings between these sides on record, both from a Champions League group stage back in 2020. Ajax lost 0-1 at home and drew 2-2 away at Atalanta.

Both squads have changed substantially since then, so that history carries little weight for this fixture.

Where Ajax's goals are coming from

Ajax's scoring has been fairly spread out lately. O. Gloukh and D. Klaassen have four goals each in five matches, and T. Arokodare has three in three. S. Berghuis and A. Ouazane have chipped in three assists apiece.

Ajax:

Best scorers:

O. Gloukh - 4

D. Klaassen - 4

T. Arokodare - 3

Best assist providers:

S. Berghuis - 3

A. Ouazane - 3

M. Godts - 2

There's no equivalent breakdown for Atalanta's players here, so it's hard to compare output directly, but Ajax clearly have more than one route to goal.

Ajax's threat isn't reliant on a single player, which matters if one or two are shuffled around.

How this one could unfold

Given Ajax's home scoring rate and defensive lapses, plus Atalanta's habit of both winning and losing away from home, this has the look of a game that could go either way on the scoreline. Ajax have conceded in bunches at times, and Atalanta have shown they can score against decent opposition on the road.

Equally, Atalanta's away form includes some disciplined, low-scoring performances, so a tighter game isn't out of the question either.