VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

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Watch as VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund go head-to-head in the German Bundesliga on 04.04.2026. This matchup is too close to call, with each team bringing their A-game. Our comprehensive breakdown covers everything from historical matchups in the German Bundesliga to potential game changers. Check out our prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Dortmund and place a well-informed bet!

Standings of both teams

Key Player Statistics: VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund

VfB Stuttgart:

Best scorers:

D. Undav - 18

E. Demirović - 9

J. Leweling - 7

Best assist providers:

D. Undav - 6

J. Leweling - 6

Injury list:

L. Jaquez

J. Diehl

L. Stergiou

Silas

L. Jovanovic

T. Tomas

D. Zagadou

Borussia Dortmund:

Best scorers:

S. Guirassy - 13

M. Beier - 8

Best assist providers:

J. Ryerson - 12

Injury list:

A. Anselmino

F. Silva

N. Sule

M. Beier

M. Sabitzer

E. Can

F. Mane

F. Nmecha

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Historical Match Results

Comparative Team Statistics: VfB Stuttgart VS Borussia Dortmund

Last 20 Matches Statistics: VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund

VfB Stuttgart:

Win/Draw/Loss:

Win: 60%

Draw: 15%

Loss: 25%

Scored/Conceded:

Scored: 45

Conceded: 26

Borussia Dortmund:

Win/Draw/Loss:

Win: 60%

Draw: 20%

Loss: 20%

Scored/Conceded:

Scored: 42

Conceded: 27

Bookies' predictions

Win
VfB Stuttgart

2.28

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Draw

3.85

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Win Borussia Dortmund

2.7

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Betting Intelligence: VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund

Eight points. That's all that separates second-placed Borussia Dortmund from Stuttgart sitting right behind them in third. When these two meet at the MHPArena, the stakes couldn't be higher — this is a top-of-the-table battle with Champions League implications written all over it.

Stuttgart have been in stunning form at home. They demolished Dortmund 5-1 at this exact venue back in September 2024. That result wasn't a fluke — it was a statement. And the head-to-head record over recent seasons tells a fascinating story. Stuttgart have won four of the last six encounters between these sides, including a 2-0 DFB-Pokal victory that showed they genuinely don't fear the Yellow Wall.

Here's what you need to watch for: Deniz Undav is on fire. Eighteen goals in 23 league matches. That's elite-level production. He also chips in with assists, making him Stuttgart's beating heart in attack. Don't be fooled by the mainstream narrative that Dortmund are the stronger side simply because they sit higher in the table — Stuttgart's attacking output of 56 goals this season is barely behind BVB's 58.

Dortmund arrive with their own weapons. Serhou Guirassy has 13 league goals, and Julian Ryerson's 12 assists from right-back is the kind of number that wins games quietly. That Ryerson connection down the flank will be absolutely crucial. Stuttgart's left side needs to stay disciplined or Dortmund will cut them open repeatedly.

Here's the surprising stat casual fans might miss: Dortmund have conceded just 28 league goals this season — significantly fewer than Stuttgart's 36. They're not just an attacking team. They're genuinely solid defensively. That makes the over 2.5 goals market interesting rather than a certainty, despite both teams' firepower.

The injury situation adds another layer. Stuttgart have multiple defenders nursing doubts, including Stergiou and Zagadou with muscle concerns. That's a real problem against Guirassy's physicality. Meanwhile, Dortmund's Beier is questionable — if he misses out, their attacking depth takes a noticeable hit.

From a betting perspective, I genuinely see value on Stuttgart at 2.35. Home advantage, superior recent head-to-head form against this specific opponent, and Undav in blistering form make them live contenders. My bold prediction: Undav scores and Stuttgart win 2-1, continuing their remarkable dominance of this fixture at home. Both teams to score looks highly bankable at this kind of price.

Get ready. Saturday night football doesn't get much better than this.

What's Your Pick?

VfB Stuttgart

German Bundesliga

04.04.2026    17:30

Borussia Dortmund



VfB Stuttgart

Draw

Borussia Dortmund

VfB Stuttgart (0%)

Draw (0%)

Borussia Dortmund (100%)

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Our VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund betting prediction

Result draw

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Handicap Borussia Dortmund (-0.5)

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Team Lineups and Player Details:

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund match odds

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Vitory Santos

Author

Last updated: April 2026