Toulouse vs Estac Troyes Prediction & Betting Tips

How each side has been playing

Toulouse's last five in the league read loss, draw, loss, draw, win. The defeats came against Lyon and Lille, both at home, before a 3-2 win over Le Havre in their most recent outing gave them something to build on.

Toulouse: 20 completed matches; Estac Troyes: 20 completed matches.

Toulouse

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

28

Conceded

37

Difference

-9

Estac Troyes

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

24

Difference

+14

Troyes have gone the other way. A draw with Paris FC and a 2-1 win at Lorient were followed by three straight defeats, including a heavy 2-6 home loss to Strasbourg. That's a rough run defensively as well as on the scoreboard.

Troyes' recent losing streak includes some big margins, which lines up with their leaky defensive numbers.

Comparative Team Statistics: Toulouse vs Estac Troyes

A long history, but not a recent one

These two have met plenty of times down the years, going back to 2012 across Ligue 1, Ligue 2 and friendlies. The last competitive meeting was in February 2023, when Toulouse won 4-1 at home, and before that Troyes won 3-0 in their own ground in 2022.

With over three years since that last game and both squads having changed a lot since then, this history doesn't tell us much about how the current sides match up.

Where they sit in the table

Toulouse are 13th with five points from five games, having won once, drawn twice and lost twice, scoring seven and conceding nine.

Troyes are just below them in 16th on four points, with one win, one draw and three losses. They've scored only four goals in those five matches while conceding eleven, the weaker of the two defensive and attacking records so far.

Key contributors so far

Toulouse have a couple of players standing out in front of goal. Christian Tengstedt has scored three times in just three appearances, and Cásseres has chipped in four assists in five games, suggesting Toulouse do create some chances even when results haven't gone their way.

Toulouse:

Best scorers:

C. Tengstedt - 3

T. Jørgensen - 2

Best assist providers:

C. Cásseres - 4

Penalty cards:

N. Schmidt x 2

Estac Troyes:

Penalty cards:

M. Diaz x 2

On the other side, Troyes' Miguel Diaz has already picked up two yellow cards in five matches, which is worth keeping an eye on given how stretched their defence has looked recently. There's no standout goal threat from Troyes in the data we have.

Toulouse's identifiable goal contributors are a point in their favour compared to Troyes' quieter attacking numbers.

What the numbers suggest about the game

Goals have been a theme in recent matches for both teams. Toulouse have found the net in four of their last five league games, and Troyes have been on the wrong end of some big scorelines, including that 2-6 defeat.

With Troyes conceding freely and Toulouse having shown they can score when it clicks, an open, goal-involved game wouldn't be a surprise, though neither team has been consistent enough to call this with real confidence.