Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction

Form: Arsenal's strong season hides a few recent bumps

Arsenal's record across their last 20 matches in all competitions reads 14 wins, three draws and three defeats, with 38 goals scored to 19 conceded. That's a seriously strong return overall. Zoom into the last month though and it's been bumpier, with defeats to Nottingham Forest, Liverpool and Slavia Praha mixed in alongside a draw at Bayern Munich.

Tottenham: 20 completed matches; Arsenal: 20 completed matches.

Tottenham

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

30

Conceded

21

Difference

+9

Arsenal

20 matches

Win

70% 14 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

19

Difference

+19

Tottenham's equivalent sample shows nine wins, six draws and five losses, with 30 scored and 21 conceded. That's a far less settled run. They've had comfortable home wins, like the 3-1 over Coventry, but also losses to sides like Chelsea and Newcastle in between.

Arsenal's season numbers are stronger, but their most recent results suggest they're not quite at their peak right now.

Comparative Team Statistics: Tottenham vs Arsenal

Head-to-head: recent derbies have gone Arsenal's way

The last two meetings between these sides both finished 4-1 to Arsenal, once at home and once away, in November 2025 and February 2026. Go back further and this fixture has swung both ways over the years, but the most recent evidence points firmly towards Arsenal's dominance in this derby.

Recent history favours Arsenal heavily, though derbies don't always follow the form book.

League table: a sizeable points gap

In the league itself, Arsenal currently sit second with 21 points from eight games, while Tottenham are down in eighth with 12 points from nine. That's a notable gap both in position and in the rate they're picking up points.

Team news: Saka leading Arsenal's attack

Bukayo Saka has been Arsenal's most productive attacker lately, scoring three times in his last five appearances. Declan Rice and Riccardo Calafiori have each added two assists in that same spell, so the creative load isn't resting on one player alone.

Arsenal:

Best scorers:

B. Saka - 3

Best assist providers:

D. Rice - 2

R. Calafiori - 2

Penalty cards:

C. Tzolis x 2

There's no equivalent breakdown available for Tottenham's squad here, so this only tells part of the personnel picture ahead of the game.

How this one could play out

Arsenal arrive with the stronger league position and a recent head-to-head edge in this fixture, but their build-up includes some tougher results against Champions League and Premier League opposition. Tottenham have shown they can be stubborn at home, with six draws in their recent sample, but they've also been inconsistent, losing five times across the same run.

That mix makes it hard to be certain which version of either side turns up, even with the broader form and table clearly favouring one of them.