Tondela vs Alverca Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form for both sides

Alverca's last 20 matches across competitions read nine wins, three draws and eight losses, with goals dead level at 24-24. Their most recent run in the Primeira Liga has been a mixed bag too: two wins followed by a loss, a draw and another loss in their last five league outings.

Tondela: 20 completed matches; Alverca: 20 completed matches.

Tondela

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

25

Conceded

25

Difference

0

Alverca

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

24

Difference

0

Tondela's record over the same length of sample is almost a mirror image - eight wins, three draws, nine losses, goals level again at 25-25. They've dropped down to the Segunda Liga this season, but they've picked up recently, winning their last two league matches and putting five past Imortal Albufeira in their previous cup outing.

Neither team's underlying form gives a clear edge heading into this cup tie.

A tight history between these two

These sides have met four times since early 2025, and it's been close every time. There's a win apiece and two draws, with most of those matches decided by a single goal.

That pattern of tight, low-margin results lines up with how both teams are playing right now - scrappy, unpredictable, and short on consistency.

Given how even this fixture usually is, another close contest wouldn't be a surprise.

A cup tie across two divisions

Alverca come into this as the side from the higher division, but their recent league form hasn't been settled enough to call them clear favourites. Tondela, despite dropping down a tier, have shown some form heading into the tie, including that big away win in the cup.

Knockout football has a habit of levelling things out, and with both sides showing patchy form and a head-to-head record with nothing much between them, this doesn't look like a straightforward one to predict.