St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians Prediction

Recent form tells a mixed story

Bohemians' last few league games have been up and down: a home loss to Shelbourne, a win over Waterford, an away defeat to Shamrock Rovers and a win at Dundalk. Across their last 20 matches in all competitions, including some tough European ties, they've won nine, drawn four and lost seven, with 27 goals conceded.

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St Patrick's Athl. to win

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Draw

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St Patrick's Athl.: 20 completed matches; Bohemians: 20 completed matches.

St Patrick's Athl.

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

30

Conceded

19

Difference

+11

Bohemians

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

33

Conceded

27

Difference

+6

St Pat's have been similarly inconsistent lately, drawing away at Galway, losing at Derry City, then losing at home to Shelbourne before bouncing back with away wins at Sligo and Dundalk. Over their last 20 games they've won ten, drawn five and lost five, conceding just 19 — a tidier defensive record than their rivals.

Comparative Team Statistics: St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians

History doesn't pick a side

These two have met 20 times since 2022 and the results are spread fairly evenly, with several low-scoring draws in the mix, including three separate 0-0s. Even this season the head-to-head has gone back and forth: a goalless draw in February, a 3-1 St Pat's win in April, a 2-0 Bohemians win in June and a 1-1 FAI Cup draw in September.

Neither side has managed to establish any real recent dominance in this fixture.

A tight battle near the top

St Patrick's Athletic sit third on 59 points from 33 games, just three behind Bohemians in second, who have played one more match. The gap in goal difference is more noticeable: St Pat's have scored 53 and conceded only 27, while Bohemians have scored more (60) but let in a lot more too (41).

That defensive solidity for the home side could matter if this one stays tight, even with the table positions so close together.

St Pat's tighter defence could be the difference if the match is cagey.

Goals and bookings to watch

Goal threat is fairly balanced. Bohemians' C. Whelan leads the way with 12 goals, with R. Tierney adding nine, while St Pat's have two players in double figures in R. Edmondson and A. Keena, with K. Leavy also chipping in.

St Patrick's Athl.:

Best scorers:

R. Edmondson - 10

A. Keena - 10

K. Leavy - 6

Penalty cards:

S. Hoare x 1 x 6

J. Lennon x 7

Bohemians:

Best scorers:

C. Whelan - 12

R. Tierney - 9

Penalty cards:

P. Hickey x 1 x 5

D. Devoy x 10

R. Tierney x 6

On discipline, Bohemians' D. Devoy has picked up the most cards of anyone involved with 10 yellows, while St Pat's J. Lennon has seven. Both sides have players capable of deciding a tight game, for better or worse.

A game that could stay tight

Given the history of low-scoring meetings between these two and how close they are in the table right now, a cagey, tactical contest wouldn't be a surprise. Both teams have shown they can score goals this season, but neither has been fully convincing defensively or consistently of late.

That combination of attacking quality and recent defensive lapses on both sides makes the outcome hard to call with any real confidence.