St. Lucia host Guadeloupe in the CONCACAF Nations League. St. Lucia's recent results have been rough going, while Guadeloupe arrive with a mixed but slightly steadier record.
Both sides were in action within the past few days, with contrasting outcomes, which gives us a genuine current snapshot to work from before digging into the wider sample.
Analysis updated .
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Form is pointing in different directions
St. Lucia's last eight matches, across several competitions, read one win, one draw and six defeats, with 23 goals conceded against just seven scored. That's a heavy defensive workload and it's been going on for a while, not just a one-off bad run.
St. Lucia: 8 completed matches; Guadeloupe: 6 completed matches.
St. Lucia
- Win
- 12.5% 1 / 8
- Draw
- 12.5% 1 / 8
- Loss
- 75% 6 / 8
- Scored
- 7
- Conceded
- 23
- Difference
- -16
Guadeloupe
- Win
- 50% 3 / 6
- Draw
- 0% 0 / 6
- Loss
- 50% 3 / 6
- Scored
- 9
- Conceded
- 11
- Difference
- -2
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONCACAF Nations League | Barbados | St. Lucia | 26.09.2026 | 2-0 |
| FIFA Series | Azerbaijan | St. Lucia | 27.03.2026 | 6-1 |
| CONCACAF Series | St. Vincent / Grenadines | St. Lucia | 16.11.2025 | 3-1 |
| CONCACAF Series | Cuba | St. Lucia | 12.11.2025 | 3-0 |
| World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | St. Lucia | Barbados | 11.06.2025 | 2-1 |
| World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Curaçao | St. Lucia | 07.06.2025 | 4-0 |
| World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | St. Lucia | Aruba | 11.06.2024 | 2-2 |
| World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Haiti | St. Lucia | 07.06.2024 | 2-1 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONCACAF Nations League | Bermuda | Guadeloupe | 25.09.2026 | 1-2 |
| CONCACAF Gold Cup | Guadeloupe | Guatemala | 25.06.2025 | 2-3 |
| CONCACAF Gold Cup | Jamaica | Guadeloupe | 21.06.2025 | 2-1 |
| CONCACAF Gold Cup | Panama | Guadeloupe | 17.06.2025 | 5-2 |
| CONCACAF Gold Cup - Qualification | Nicaragua | Guadeloupe | 26.03.2025 | 0-1 |
| CONCACAF Gold Cup - Qualification | Guadeloupe | Nicaragua | 22.03.2025 | 1-0 |
Guadeloupe's last six are closer to even on paper, three wins and three losses, with nine scored and 11 conceded. The three defeats came against Gold Cup opposition in Jamaica, Panama and Guatemala, tougher tests than a Nations League tie against St. Lucia. Their wins have come against Nicaragua twice and, most recently, away at Bermuda.
Guadeloupe's losses look more explainable given the calibre of opposition, which puts them slightly ahead on the recent evidence.
Comparative Team Statistics: St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe
A tight recent history
The two sides met twice in the Nations League back in October 2023, and honours were shared on home advantage. St. Lucia won 2-1 at home, then Guadeloupe won 2-0 on their own patch three days later.
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONCACAF Nations League | Guadeloupe | St. Lucia | 15.10.2023 | 2-0 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | St. Lucia | Guadeloupe | 13.10.2023 | 2-1 |
Add the goals up and Guadeloupe edge the aggregate 3-2, but it's only two matches from three years ago, so it tells us more about the fixture's competitiveness than about either team's current level.
Two very fresh results to weigh up
St. Lucia's most recent outing was a 2-0 defeat away to Barbados on the same date this preview is being written, in this same competition. Guadeloupe, meanwhile, won 2-1 away at Bermuda just a day earlier, also in the Nations League.
That gives both camps a real, current form line rather than just historic samples. St. Lucia's defensive numbers over the last eight games suggest they'll need to tighten up regardless of opponent, while Guadeloupe go in on the back of a competitive win in the same competition they're about to play again.
Squad lists and player details
Squad and player details
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Alexander | England | 31 | Midfielder | 173 | 68 |
| T. Thomas | St. Lucia | 30 | Defender | 190 | 71 |
| C. Elva | Canada | 30 | Attacker | 178 | 72 |
| K. Frederick | St. Lucia | 35 | Defender | 187 | 67 |
| J. Davies | St. Lucia | 26 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| V. Barclett | St. Lucia | 26 | Goalkeeper | 180 | n/a |
| D. St. Prix | St. Lucia | 29 | Goalkeeper | 185 | 77 |
| M. Doxilly | St. Lucia | 28 | Defender | 183 | 72 |
| A. Myers | St. Lucia | 28 | Defender | 178 | 68 |
| G. President | St. Lucia | 30 | Midfielder | 183 cm | n/a |
| L. Joseph | St. Lucia | 33 | Midfielder | 178 | 71 |
| R. Charles | England | 31 | Midfielder | 183 | n/a |
| Aaron Richard | St. Lucia | 27 | Attacker | 178 | 68 |
| Giovanni Deterville | St. Lucia | 45 | Goalkeeper | ||
| P. Pearson | St. Lucia | 30 | Midfielder | 165 | 64 |
| J. MacFarlane | St. Lucia | 30 | Attacker | 172 cm | n/a |
| L. Joseph-Johnson | St. Lucia | 34 | Goalkeeper | n/a | n/a |
| R. Stanislas | St. Lucia | 29 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| S. Evans | St. Lucia | 31 | Defender | 174 | 76 |
| C. Forino-Joseph | England | 26 | Defender | 191 | 83 |
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rouyard | Guadeloupe | 27 | Goalkeeper | 194 cm | 89 kg |
| K. Bevis | France | 28 | Attacker | 173 cm | n/a |
| F. David | Guadeloupe | 33 | Attacker | 180 cm | 67 kg |
| M. Phaëton | Guadeloupe | 26 | Attacker | 185 cm | 75 kg |
| A. Baron | Guadeloupe | 33 | Defender | 180 | 75 |
| J. Senneville | France | 35 | Defender | 171 cm | 69 kg |
| A. Plumain | Guadeloupe | 31 | Attacker | 184 | 74 |
| B. Cognard | Guadeloupe | 36 | Goalkeeper | 188 | 84 |
| R. Adélaïde | Guadeloupe | 27 | Goalkeeper | 196 | n/a |
| Z. Moco | Guadeloupe | 23 | Midfielder | 181 | 74 |
| K. Mixtur | Guadeloupe | 22 | Attacker | 184 | n/a |
| N. Cadiou | France | 27 | Midfielder | 191 | 84 |
| N. Saintini | Guadeloupe | 26 | Defender | 188 | 85 |
| D. Cavaré | Guadeloupe | 31 | Defender | 185 cm | 93 kg |
| J. Roussillon | Guadeloupe | 33 | Defender | 175 cm | 80 kg |
| T. Ambrose | Guadeloupe | 29 | Attacker | 178 | 79 |
Putting it together, Guadeloupe's recent form and their competitive win over Bermuda give them a slight edge over a St. Lucia side that's conceded heavily across their last eight games. But the 2023 meetings show home advantage has mattered in this fixture before, and neither sample is large enough to lean on heavily.
With no market reference supplied to weigh against these findings, we're not backing a specific outcome here. The form gap is real but not overwhelming, and it's a case where the evidence points softly rather than decisively.
Who will win?
