SC Braga vs Gent Prediction

Opposite trajectories heading into this one

Braga's form has dipped lately. Across their last twenty matches they've won eleven, drawn six and lost three, including back-to-back defeats to FC Copenhagen and Sporting CP in their two most recent outings. Those are tough opponents, but it shows the wheels have wobbled a bit.

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1

SC Braga to win

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Draw

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Odds3.68

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2

Gent to win

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Odds4.5

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SC Braga: 20 completed matches; Gent: 20 completed matches.

SC Braga

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

30

Conceded

16

Difference

+14

Gent

20 matches

Win

60% 12 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

5% 1 / 20

Scored

37

Conceded

15

Difference

+22

Gent, by contrast, have barely put a foot wrong. Twelve wins from their last twenty matches with just a single defeat, including league wins over Club Brugge and Standard Liège plus a come-from-behind win away at Hibernian in Europe. They've also scored more freely than Braga across that sample.

On recent output alone, Gent look the sharper side heading into this fixture.

Comparative Team Statistics: SC Braga vs Gent

History offers little to go on

These two have only met twice, both in the Europa League back in 2016, and both finished level: 2-2 in Ghent and 1-1 in Braga. That's a decade old now, so it tells us almost nothing about either side's current form or strength.

Horta is the man to watch for Braga

Ricardo Horta has been directly involved in Braga's recent games, scoring three times and adding two assists across his last four appearances. He's clearly their sharpest attacking threat right now.

SC Braga:

Best scorers:

Ricardo Horta - 3

Best assist providers:

Ricardo Horta - 2

Penalty cards:

Fran Navarro x 3

Fran Navarro has picked up three yellow cards in his last six matches. That's not alarming on its own, but worth watching given how strictly referees can officiate in continental fixtures.

A shaky favourite at home

Braga are still fancied as favourites here, helped by home advantage and reputation, even though their last few results haven't matched that billing. Losing three of their last five, including a heavy defeat to Copenhagen, isn't the platform you'd want going into a European night.

Gent arrive full of confidence after a strong run through August and September. They've shown they can score goals and defend solidly, home or away, which should make them more competitive than the gap in reputation suggests.