Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form: contrasting styles

Over their last 20 matches, Sarpsborg have won five, drawn six and lost nine, scoring 22 goals and conceding 31. It's been a fairly tight, low-scoring sample, with several 0-0 and 1-0 results mixed among a couple of heavier defeats.

Sarpsborg 08 FF: 20 completed matches; Aalesund: 20 completed matches.

Sarpsborg 08 FF

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

22

Conceded

31

Difference

-9

Aalesund

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

33

Conceded

41

Difference

-8

Aalesund's equivalent run reads five wins, eight draws and seven losses, with 33 scored and 41 conceded. Their games have swung wildly at times, including a 5-5 draw with Valerenga, a 6-1 win at the same side, and a 2-6 defeat to Tromso.

Aalesund's matches have been far more open than Sarpsborg's this season.

Comparative Team Statistics: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund

History leans Sarpsborg's way

The last ten meetings between these two, stretching back to 2016, have gone Sarpsborg's way more often than not, seven wins to Aalesund's two with one draw. The most recent meeting, in October 2023, actually went the other way, a 3-2 win for Aalesund.

That record covers several seasons and both squads have changed a fair bit since then, so it's more background context than a guide to how this current pair will play out.

Where they sit

Sarpsborg are ninth with 25 points from 21 games, six wins, seven draws and eight losses. Aalesund are fourteenth on 21 points from the same number of matches, with four wins, nine draws and eight losses.

There's a four-point gap between them, but the win and points tallies are close enough that neither side looks clearly superior on the season so far.

The narrow points gap suggests two fairly evenly matched sides on paper.

Key men to watch

Aalesund's M. Christensen has been their main source of goals, with eight in 20 appearances, while E. Osenbroch has chipped in four assists in 19 games.

Sarpsborg 08 FF:

Best scorers:

D. Karlsbakk - 7

Best assist providers:

S. Sørli - 4

C. Niyukuri - 4

Penalty cards:

Mamour Ndiaye x 1 x 4

B. Utvik x 5

Aalesund:

Best scorers:

M. Christensen - 8

Best assist providers:

E. Osenbroch - 4

Penalty cards:

M. Christensen x 6

For Sarpsborg, D. Karlsbakk leads their scoring with seven from 21 matches, and both S. Sørli and C. Niyukuri have four assists apiece. B. Utvik and Mamour Ndiaye have both picked up a handful of yellow cards this season, showing Sarpsborg's midfield can get physical.

How this one could play out

Sarpsborg have mostly played tight, low-scoring matches this season, while Aalesund have often been involved in shootouts at both ends. That stylistic mismatch could pull the game in either direction depending on which pattern holds up.

The head-to-head record generally favours Sarpsborg, though it's a few years old now and neither squad is quite the same as it was back then.