Rochdale vs Grimsby Prediction & Betting Tips

Grimsby unbeaten, but drawing on the road

Grimsby's unbeaten league run hides an interesting split. At home they've won three of four, but away from home they've drawn all three matches without a single win, including goalless stalemates and 2-2 draws against Cheltenham and Accrington.

Rochdale: 20 completed matches; Grimsby: 20 completed matches.

Rochdale

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

30

Conceded

34

Difference

-4

Grimsby

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

45% 9 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

22

Difference

+10

Rochdale's home form is far less settled. In four home league games they've won twice and lost twice, ranging from a 3-0 win over Shrewsbury to a 1-4 defeat against Gillingham. That inconsistency makes their home games hard to predict.

Rochdale's home matches have swung between comfortable wins and heavy defeats, so there's little pattern to lean on there.

Comparative Team Statistics: Rochdale vs Grimsby

History doesn't lean either way

The four recorded meetings between these two are split fairly evenly. Rochdale won the most recent, a 2-0 friendly last summer, while Grimsby have taken wins in earlier League Two and League Cup meetings.

None of these results are recent enough, or from a similar stage of either team's season, to say much about how this next meeting will go.

A clear gap in the table

Grimsby currently sit third in League Two with 13 points from seven games, having won three and drawn four without losing. Rochdale are down in 17th with just seven points from the same number of matches, having already lost four times.

The goals tell a similar story. Grimsby have conceded only six in seven league games, while Rochdale have shipped ten and scored just seven themselves.

It's still early in the season, but the gap in both points and goals conceded is significant.

Green leading the way for Grimsby

K. Green has been directly involved in five goals for Grimsby this season, three goals and two assists in seven appearances, with C. Vernam also contributing two assists. That spread of goal involvement lines up with their unbeaten record so far.

Rochdale:

Best assist providers:

D. Brown - 2

Penalty cards:

O. Adebayo-Rowling x 1 x 3

E. Francis x 1 x 1

B. Bilongo x 1 x 1

Grimsby:

Best scorers:

K. Green - 3

Best assist providers:

K. Green - 2

C. Vernam - 2

Penalty cards:

K. Green x 3

For Rochdale, E. Francis has already picked up a red card alongside a yellow in six appearances this season, which is worth keeping an eye on if he's involved again.

What kind of game are we likely to get?

Grimsby's tendency to draw rather than win away from home, combined with Rochdale's habit of swinging between big wins and heavy losses at their own ground, points to an unpredictable contest.

Grimsby's tighter defence gives them an edge on paper, but Rochdale have shown they can score three at home just as easily as they can concede four.

Neither side's recent record points to a straightforward, low-scoring afternoon.