QPR vs Burnley Prediction

Form lines point in different directions

QPR's recent sample, which stretches across the Championship, cup games and some pre-season friendlies, shows eight wins, seven draws and five losses from twenty matches. They've scored 31 and conceded 23 across that spread, which points to a team getting reasonable results more often than not.

QPR: 20 completed matches; Burnley: 20 completed matches.

QPR

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

24

Difference

+8

Burnley

20 matches

Win

0% 0 / 20

Draw

50% 10 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

20

Conceded

38

Difference

-18

Burnley's equivalent sample is a lot grimmer. No wins at all in twenty matches, ten draws, ten losses, and that run includes their closing Premier League games before the move down. They've scored just 20 and conceded 38 in that time.

That gulf in confidence is worth bearing in mind, even though both samples mix competitions and seasons rather than being a clean run of Championship games.

Comparative Team Statistics: QPR vs Burnley

History doesn't offer much certainty

The head-to-head record stretches back over a decade and it's genuinely mixed. The most recent meeting, last season, saw QPR beaten 5-0 at home by Burnley, which is about as one-sided as it gets.

Before that there was a goalless draw, and further back the results swing from heavy QPR wins to heavy Burnley ones. None of it really reflects where either club is right now, given how much both squads and divisions have changed.

The table shows a big early gap

QPR currently sit sixth with 13 points from eight games, having won three, drawn four and lost just once. Burnley are down in 24th with only four points from the same number of matches, still without a win.

That's a sizeable separation for this early in the season, and it lines up with the contrast in recent form.

Eight games is still a small sample, but the gap between these two sides is already clear.

Discipline notes rather than confirmed absences

There's no firm injury list to go on this far out from kickoff, but a couple of disciplinary details stand out. QPR's Jake Clarke-Salter has picked up four yellow cards in seven appearances, and Dion Cirkin has already been sent off once in that same spell.

QPR:

Penalty cards:

D. Cirkin x 1

J. Clarke-Salter x 4

Burnley:

Penalty cards:

J. Laurent x 1 x 2

Burnley's Josh Laurent, by comparison, has just two yellows in seven games.

What to expect

QPR go into this with a clear table advantage and a steadier run of results behind them, while Burnley's away form has been poor for months. On the balance of what we can see, QPR look the more settled side right now.

This fixture is still some way off from the data here, though, so form on both sides could shift before kickoff. Burnley have also shown in this exact matchup before that they're capable of a big result away from home.