Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Predictions and Match Preview

Last updated Sep. 7, 2026
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A
12.09.2026    22:30
00
days
00
hours
00
min
00
sec
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W1
C: 1.67
X
C: 3.7
W2
C: 4.75
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo

On 13.09.2026, witness a compelling Brazil Serie A match between Palmeiras and Sao Paulo. Palmeiras is slightly favored, but Sao Paulo is ready to challenge every point. We provide a thorough breakdown of the teams, including tactical setups, key players, and recent form. Dive into our prediction for expert betting guidance.

Standings of both teams

Team Played Win Draw Loss GF/GA Points
1 Palmeiras 25 15 7 3 45/21 52
2 Flamengo 25 15 6 4 50/21 51
3 Atletico Paranaense 25 13 6 6 37/25 45
10 Corinthians 25 8 8 9 26/25 32
11 Sao Paulo 24 8 6 10 29/28 30
12 Botafogo 24 8 6 10 37/40 30

Key Player Statistics: Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo

Palmeiras:
Best scorers:
J. López - 8
Maurício - 7
Best assist providers:
Andreas Pereira - 10
J. López - 4
Injury list:
Mauricio
Vitor Roque
Sao Paulo:
Best scorers:
Luciano - 8
J. Calleri - 7
Penalty cards:
E. Díaz red card x 7
Injury list:
Andre Silva
Lucca Marques

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Historical Match Results

Head 2 Head
League Home Away Date Score
Serie A Sao Paulo Palmeiras 22.03.2026 0-1
Paulista - A1 Palmeiras Sao Paulo 02.03.2026 2-1
Paulista - A1 Palmeiras Sao Paulo 24.01.2026 3-1
Serie A Sao Paulo Palmeiras 05.10.2025 2-3
Serie A Palmeiras Sao Paulo 11.05.2025 1-0
Paulista - A1 Palmeiras Sao Paulo 11.03.2025 1-0
Paulista - A1 Palmeiras Sao Paulo 16.02.2025 0-0
Serie A Palmeiras Sao Paulo 18.08.2024 2-1
Serie A Sao Paulo Palmeiras 30.04.2024 0-0
Paulista - A1 Sao Paulo Palmeiras 04.03.2024 1-1
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Palmeiras
League Home Away Date Score
Serie A Botafogo Palmeiras 07.09.2026 0-0
Copa Do Brasil Santos Palmeiras 03.09.2026 0-0
Serie A Mirassol Palmeiras 31.08.2026 1-1
Copa Do Brasil Palmeiras Santos 27.08.2026 3-0
Serie A Palmeiras Vasco DA Gama 23.08.2026 4-1
CONMEBOL Libertadores Cerro Porteno Palmeiras 20.08.2026 0-1
Serie A Fluminense Palmeiras 15.08.2026 3-2
CONMEBOL Libertadores Palmeiras Cerro Porteno 13.08.2026 1-1
Serie A Palmeiras Internacional 09.08.2026 0-0
Copa Do Brasil Fortaleza EC Palmeiras 06.08.2026 3-2
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Sao Paulo
League Home Away Date Score
Serie A Sao Paulo Atletico-MG 06.09.2026 2-0
Serie A Sao Paulo RB Bragantino 30.08.2026 2-1
Serie A Chapecoense-sc Sao Paulo 24.08.2026 1-0
CONMEBOL Sudamericana Sao Paulo Bolívar 19.08.2026 3-1
Serie A Sao Paulo Coritiba 16.08.2026 1-1
CONMEBOL Sudamericana Bolívar Sao Paulo 12.08.2026 1-1
Serie A Gremio Sao Paulo 08.08.2026 2-1
Serie A Flamengo Sao Paulo 27.07.2026 1-1
Serie A Sao Paulo Atletico Paranaense 23.07.2026 1-2
Serie A Remo Sao Paulo 01.06.2026 1-0
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Comparative Team Statistics: Palmeiras VS Sao Paulo

Palmeiras - Sao Paulo diagrams

Last 20 Matches Statistics: Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo

Palmeiras:
Win/Draw/Loss:
Win: 50%
Draw: 30%
Loss: 20%
Scored/Conceded:
Scored: 38
Conceded: 16
Sao Paulo:
Win/Draw/Loss:
Win: 25%
Draw: 40%
Loss: 35%
Scored/Conceded:
Scored: 23
Conceded: 23

Bookies' predictions

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Win
Palmeiras
1.67
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Draw
3.7
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Win Sao Paulo
4.75
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Betting Intelligence: Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo

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There are derbies, and then there is this. Palmeiras against São Paulo. The Choque-Rei. One of Brazilian football's most charged fixtures. And right now, the stakes couldn't feel more different for these two clubs.

Palmeiras sit top of Serie A with 52 points from 25 games. They are the best team in Brazil right now. Full stop. São Paulo are 11th, with 30 points from 24 games, scrapping for relevance in a season that promised much more.

Here's what you need to watch for: Palmeiras don't just win games, they dominate them. Their goal difference tells the story — 45 scored, just 21 conceded. São Paulo have scored 29 and let in 28. These are two teams moving in completely opposite directions.

Don't be fooled by the mainstream narrative about São Paulo's recent back-to-back home wins over Atletico-MG and RB Bragantino. That mini-revival looks good on paper. But Palmeiras just dismantled Vasco 4-1, thrashed Fortaleza 3-0 in the Copa do Brasil, and crushed Flamengo 3-0 away from home. Away from home. That is the form of champions.

Now, the head-to-head record is genuinely fascinating. Of the last 20 meetings between these clubs, Palmeiras have been the dominant force. But here is the surprising detail casual fans will miss: in Serie A specifically, São Paulo managed to win at home against Palmeiras as recently as March 2026, beating them 1-0. And in October 2025, they pushed Palmeiras all the way before losing 3-2. São Paulo can hurt them. They just rarely do it consistently.

The key matchup to watch is in midfield. Andreas Pereira has been absolutely electric for Palmeiras, racking up 10 assists in 24 league games. Ten. That creativity connecting to Palmeiras' forward line is where this game could be won and lost. If São Paulo's midfield, led by the feisty E. Díaz — already on 7 yellow cards — can disrupt that supply line, they stay in this. If they can't, it gets ugly.

Palmeiras also have injury concerns to manage, with Paulinho, Jefte, and R. Sosa all missing, plus Arthur Gabriel suspended. That gives São Paulo a genuine opening. But even a slightly depleted Palmeiras is a formidable machine.

For those thinking about where the value lies: Palmeiras at 1.67 is short but justified. The real opportunity, I'd argue, is in Palmeiras to win and both teams to score — São Paulo have shown they can find the net in big moments. I'd also back Andreas Pereira to register an assist at attractive odds. He's been involved in everything good Palmeiras do.

My prediction? Palmeiras 2-1 São Paulo. A tense first half, a São Paulo goal that briefly raises pulses, and then Palmeiras' quality asserting itself with a winning goal in the second half. The leaders are too good, too consistent, and too motivated to drop points in a derby.

This is the Choque-Rei. Even when one side is in superb form, the other side always turns up. Set your alarm. This one will not disappoint.

What's Your Pick?

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A
12.09.2026    22:30
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo

Palmeiras (0%)
Draw (0%)
Sao Paulo (0%)

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Our Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo betting prediction

Mybookie logo.
Result win Palmeiras
1.67 х
+ 100%
=0
Bet Now
Mybookie logo.
Handicap Palmeiras (-0.25)
1.48 х
+ 100%
=0
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Total Over (1.5)
1.33 х
+ 100%
=0
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Will this prediction come true?
Palmeiras - Sao Paulo

Team Lineups and Player Details:

Palmeiras
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
Andreas Pereira Brazil 30 Midfielder 178 71
Paulinho Brazil 26 Attacker 177 77
Weverton Brazil 38 Goalkeeper 189 91
Felipe Anderson Brazil 33 Forward 175 70
G. Gómez Paraguay 33 Defender 185 86
A. Barboza Argentina 31 Defender 193 70
Marlon Freitas Brazil 31 Midfielder 185 86
Bruno Rodrigues Brazil 29 Forward 177 72
Raphael Veiga Brazil 31 Midfielder 178 77
Murilo Brazil 29 Defender 188 85
Khellven Brazil 25 Defender 176 70
Marcelo Lomba Brazil 39 Goalkeeper 189 85
Carlos Miguel Brazil 27 Goalkeeper 204 94
Bruno Fuchs Brazil 27 Defender 190 85
J. Arias Colombia 28 Midfielder 170 77
Lucas Evangelista Brazil 31 Midfielder 183 79
J. Piquerez Uruguay 28 Defender 184 81
Maurício Brazil 25 Midfielder 174 77
E. Martínez Uruguay 27 Midfielder 184 64
Abd Al Qader Ghareeb Syria 31 Midfielder n/a n/a
Sao Paulo
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
Lucas Moura Brazil 34 Attacker 172 72
Cédric Soares Portugal 35 Defender 172 67
Marcos Antônio Brazil 26 Attacker 166 55
Wendell Brazil 33 Defender 178 72
N. Ferraresi Venezuela 27 Defender 190 84
R. Arboleda Ecuador 34 Defender 189 85
A. Franco Argentina 29 Defender 180 77
E. Díaz Argentina 30 Defender 175 65
Victor Sá Brazil 32 Attacker 178 70
Aurélio Buta Portugal 29 Defender 172 66
Sabino Brazil 29 Defender 184 88
Lucas Ramon Brazil 32 Defender 178 72
Luan Brazil 27 Midfielder n/a n/a
Artur Brazil 28 Attacker 168 68
Rafael Brazil 37 Goalkeeper 192 91
Luciano Brazil 33 Attacker 181 77
Iago Brazil 29 Midfielder 181 67
Alisson Brazil 33 Midfielder 171 72
Cauly Brazil 31 Midfielder 172 68
R. Tolói Italy 35 Defender 185 cm 75 kg

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo match odds

MATCH RESULT (1x2)
W1: 1.67
Х: 3.7
W2: 4.75
Handicap
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Handicap (-2.5): 6.00
Handicap (-2.5): 1.12
Handicap (-2.25): 5.75
Handicap (-2.25): 1.14
Handicap (-2): 5.25
Handicap (-2): 1.16
Handicap (-1.75): 3.55
Handicap (-1.75): 1.27
Handicap (-1.5): 2.85
Handicap (-1.5): 1.40
Handicap (-1.25): 2.60
Handicap (-1.25): 1.48
Handicap (-1): 2.20
Handicap (-1): 1.65
Handicap (-0.75): 1.90
Handicap (-0.75): 1.95
Handicap (-0.5): 1.68
Handicap (-0.5): 2.15
Handicap (-0.25): 1.48
Handicap (-0.25): 2.60
Handicap (0): 1.27
Handicap (0): 3.55
Handicap (0.25): 1.23
Handicap (0.25): 4.10
Handicap (0.5): 1.19
Handicap (0.5): 4.50
Handicap (0.75): 1.12
Handicap (0.75): 6.40
Total
Over
Under
Over (0.5): 1.06
Under (0.5): 9.50
Over (1.5): 1.33
Under (1.5): 3.40
Over (2.5): 2.05
Under (2.5): 1.75
Over (3.5): 3.75
Under (3.5): 1.28
Over (4.5): 7.00
Under (4.5): 1.10
Over (5.5): 15.00
Under (5.5): 1.03
Over (6.5): 29.00
Under (6.5): 1.01
More odds

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Nick Mordin.
Author
Last updated: September 2026
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