Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati Prediction

Mixed form on both sides

Orlando's last 20 matches have brought eight wins, six draws and six defeats, with 39 goals scored and 38 conceded. That's a side capable of good runs but also prone to leaking goals.

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Orlando City SC to win

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Draw

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FC Cincinnati to win

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Orlando City SC: 20 completed matches; FC Cincinnati: 20 completed matches.

Orlando City SC

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

39

Conceded

38

Difference

+1

FC Cincinnati

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

36

Difference

-4

Cincinnati's record over the same sample size is almost a mirror image: eight wins, five draws, seven losses, 32 scored and 36 against. Neither team has found much defensive solidity lately.

Comparative Team Statistics: Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati

No pattern of dominance between these two

These sides have met plenty of times down the years and the results swing wildly. Their August meeting at Orlando finished 1-1, but back in May Cincinnati won 6-2 on their own patch. Elsewhere in their history there's a 0-0 and a 5-1 too, so there's no clear trend of one team routinely getting the better of the other.

League position tells a similar story

Cincinnati sit seventh with 46 points from 33 games, just above Orlando in ninth on 43. The gap between them is narrow, and both have shipped plenty - 73 against for Cincinnati, 78 for Orlando - while also scoring freely at the other end.

Neither team's season-long numbers suggest tight, low-scoring football is the norm for them.

Fitness notes and the main attacking threats

Cincinnati's M. Miazga and K. Fletcher are both listed as questionable, while Orlando have doubts over J. Gerbet, A. Marin and Tiago. None of that confirms who will actually be available, but it's worth watching the team sheets given how shaky both defences have looked.

Orlando City SC:

Best scorers:

M. Ojeda - 12

Best assist providers:

Justin Ellis - 8

Penalty cards:

M. Crépeau x 1 x 2

Injury list:

J. Gerbet

A. Marin

Tiago

FC Cincinnati:

Best scorers:

K. Denkey - 14

Evander - 12

Best assist providers:

Evander - 8

Penalty cards:

G. Valenzuela x 2 x 2

O. Nwobodo x 1 x 6

Bryan Josías Ramírez León x 8

Injury list:

M. Miazga

K. Fletcher

In front of goal there's no shortage of quality. Cincinnati's K. Denkey has 14 goals this season and Evander has added 12 goals and 8 assists. Orlando's M. Ojeda has matched Denkey's output with 12 goals of his own.

A fixture that tends to produce goals

Across their 33 league games this season, Cincinnati have been involved in 140 goals combined (67 for, 73 against), and Orlando's figure is identical at 140 (62 for, 78 against). That works out to well over four goals per game on average for each of them.

Their head-to-head history backs that up loosely too, with several meetings finishing four goals or more, even if a couple of recent games between them have been tighter draws.