Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions

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As Newells Old Boys and Velez Sarsfield prepare to face off in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 11.09.2026, anticipation builds for this evenly matched clash. With both teams showing strong performances this season, predicting an outcome becomes a thrilling challenge. Dive into our expert analysis, explore past match stats, and get the best betting tips. Be sure to read our full prediction and place your bets confidently.

Standings of both teams

Key Player Statistics: Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield:

Best scorers:

M. Lanzini - 6

Best assist providers:

D. Valdés - 5

M. Pellegrini - 4

Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield Historical Match Results

Comparative Team Statistics: Newells Old Boys VS Velez Sarsfield

Last 20 Matches Statistics: Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield

Newells Old Boys:

Win/Draw/Loss:

Win: 30%

Draw: 35%

Loss: 35%

Scored/Conceded:

Scored: 19

Conceded: 27

Velez Sarsfield:

Win/Draw/Loss:

Win: 40%

Draw: 45%

Loss: 15%

Scored/Conceded:

Scored: 26

Conceded: 16

Bookies' predictions

Win
Newells Old Boys

2.7

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Draw

2.9

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Win Velez Sarsfield

2.7

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Betting Intelligence: Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield

There are derbies, and then there are the matches that feel like they matter beyond the scoreline. Newells Old Boys hosting Velez Sarsfield in the Liga Profesional Argentina is exactly that kind of game. Two sides separated by just two points in the table, both lurking right behind the pace-setters, both knowing that a slip here could cost them dearly before the season really finds its stride.

Here's what you need to watch for: this is a fixture with history, and it's not particularly kind to the home side. Looking back across the last twelve head-to-head meetings, Velez have been the dominant force. They've won six of those encounters, with Newells managing just three wins. Even more striking, Velez have conceded only once in their last three meetings with Newells. That's a pattern worth taking seriously.

Don't be fooled by the mainstream narrative that Newells have home advantage sewn up. Yes, they've beaten Banfield and Deportivo Riestra at home recently, but this current Newells side is inconsistent in a way that the bookmakers seem to be undervaluing. They drew 0-0 with San Lorenzo at home not long ago. They were battered 5-0 at Lanus just months back. The gaps in their form are real.

Velez, by contrast, feel like a side building momentum. Thirteen points from seven games, fourth in the table, and they just beat Estudiantes 1-0 before this fixture. They're grinding out results. That's what good teams do. Manuel Lanzini is the key man here. Six goals in 24 matches this season, the creative heartbeat of everything Velez do going forward. If he finds space between the Newells lines, this game could be decided in moments of individual quality rather than tactical battles.

The odds are fascinating, by the way. All three outcomes are priced around 2.70 to 2.80, making this one of the most open fixtures you'll find. I'd lean toward the Draw or Velez win double chance market as genuine value. The history strongly suggests this won't be a high-scoring affair either. Backing Under 2.5 goals looks smart given that eight of their last twelve head-to-heads produced two or fewer goals combined.

My bold prediction: Lanzini scores the only goal of the game. A tight, tense 1-0 Velez win, the kind this fixture has produced repeatedly. The stats point there. The form points there. Trust the pattern.

Saturday night in Rosario. The stakes are very real. Don't miss it.

What's Your Pick?

Newells Old Boys

Liga Profesional Argentina

11.09.2026    21:00

Velez Sarsfield



Newells Old Boys

Draw

Velez Sarsfield

Newells Old Boys (0%)

Draw (0%)

Velez Sarsfield (0%)

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Our Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield betting prediction

Result draw

2.9 х

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Handicap Newells Old Boys (0.5)

1.45 х

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Total Over (1.5)

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Team Lineups and Player Details:

Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield match odds

Best Betting Sites for Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield

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Nick Mordin

Author

Last updated: September 2026