Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction

Newcastle up and down, Sunderland struggling badly

Newcastle's last five league games have been a mixed bag: two wins, including a 2-0 win at Crystal Palace, but three defeats too, most recently a home loss to Everton. There's no real consistency there.

Newcastle: 20 completed matches; Sunderland: 20 completed matches.

Newcastle

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

34

Difference

-7

Sunderland

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

28

Difference

-1

Sunderland's recent form is tougher reading. Their last five in the league have brought four defeats and a draw, with losses to Coventry, Bournemouth, Brighton and Manchester City. They've not won in the league since late August.

Neither side looks settled, but Sunderland's dip has been steeper and longer.

Comparative Team Statistics: Newcastle vs Sunderland

Sunderland have had Newcastle's number lately

The head-to-head record stretches back years and is fairly mixed over the long run, but the two most recent meetings both went Sunderland's way. They won 1-0 at home in December 2025 and then 2-1 away at Newcastle in March 2026.

Older meetings, including some heavy Newcastle wins, go back over a decade and don't tell us much about where either side is now.

Recent history favours Sunderland, even though their overall form doesn't.

A big gap in the table

Newcastle are 12th with 11 points from eight games, having won three, drawn two and lost three. Sunderland are down in 20th with just five points from nine matches, winning only once all season.

That's a wide gap on paper, and it lines up with how each side has been playing of late.

Players to watch

Sunderland's Brobbey has been their standout scorer with three goals in his last five appearances, giving them an outlet even during a rough run of results.

Newcastle:

Best scorers:

J. Willock - 2

Best assist providers:

H. Barnes - 2

Penalty cards:

J. Murphy x 3

Y. Wissa x 2

Sunderland:

Best scorers:

B. Brobbey - 3

Penalty cards:

Reinildo x 1 x 1

For Newcastle, Willock has chipped in with two goals and Barnes has two assists in the same span, while Murphy has picked up three yellow cards in his last five matches.

Two stories pulling in different directions

Newcastle's table position and overall form suggest they should have the edge at home, especially against a Sunderland side that's won once in nine league games this season.

But the recent head-to-head doesn't fit that pattern at all. Sunderland have found a way to beat Newcastle twice running, even while struggling everywhere else. That tension makes this a harder one to call than the table alone suggests.