Mexico vs Chile Prediction & Betting Tips

Mexico's form has been solid, Chile's has not

Mexico's last 20 matches show ten wins, six draws and only four defeats, with 29 goals scored against 15 conceded. That sample includes their World Cup group games this summer, where they beat South Africa, South Korea and won plenty of home friendlies too, before losing 3-2 to England and 3-0 away to Czechia.

Mexico: 20 completed matches; Chile: 20 completed matches.

Mexico

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

29

Conceded

15

Difference

+14

Chile

20 matches

Win

15% 3 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

65% 13 / 20

Scored

14

Conceded

34

Difference

-20

Chile's equivalent sample is far rougher: three wins, four draws and thirteen losses from 20 matches, with just 14 goals for and 34 against. Most of that run came through a difficult World Cup qualifying campaign in South America, and their more recent friendlies, including a 4-1 win over New Zealand but also defeats to Portugal and Canada, suggest a side still trying to find its feet.

Mexico's sample carries more competitive weight and a much better goal difference than Chile's.

Comparative Team Statistics: Mexico vs Chile

History leans towards Mexico, but it's dated

The last five meetings between these two go back to 2015, and Mexico have generally had the better of it at home, including a 3-1 win in 2019 and a striking 7-0 result at the 2016 Copa America. Chile did win away 1-0 in 2018, though, and the most recent meeting in 2021 finished 2-2.

None of this tells us much about where either side is right now, given how long ago most of it happened and how different both squads look today.

Limited player info, but a couple of names stand out

On the scoring side, B. Gutiérrez and J. Vásquez have each contributed two goals in their recent appearances for Mexico, hinting they've been involved in the more productive spells of that run. J. Sánchez has picked up a couple of yellow cards in five games, which is just a discipline note rather than anything to build a case around.

Mexico:

Best scorers:

B. Gutiérrez - 2

J. Vásquez - 2

Penalty cards:

J. Sánchez x 3

Chile:

Penalty cards:

I. Román x 1

For Chile, the only individual note is I. Román picking up a red card in a single recent appearance. That's a small data point, not proof of who will or won't be involved for this fixture.

A friendly with contrasting agendas

Mexico go into this off the back of a home World Cup campaign that showed some genuine quality, even if it ended in a narrow loss to England. That kind of run tends to leave a squad sharp and settled.

Chile, by contrast, are using these friendlies to rebuild after failing to reach the World Cup, and their results reflect a team still searching for consistency. Friendlies like this one often bring squad rotation on both sides, so how closely either team resembles their recent form is genuinely open.