Maldives vs Lebanon Prediction & Betting Tips

Form points in different directions

Maldives' recent record makes for tough reading. Over their last ten matches they've won just once, drawn three times and lost six, shipping 18 goals while scoring only eight. The losses have come in clusters too, including a 3-0 defeat to Pakistan and a 3-1 loss away to Singapore.

Maldives: 10 completed matches; Lebanon: 11 completed matches.

Maldives

10 matches

Win

10% 1 / 10

Draw

30% 3 / 10

Loss

60% 6 / 10

Scored

8

Conceded

18

Difference

-10

Lebanon

11 matches

Win

27.3% 3 / 11

Draw

36.4% 4 / 11

Loss

36.3% 4 / 11

Scored

11

Conceded

11

Difference

0

Lebanon look sturdier by comparison. Across their last eleven games they've won three, drawn four and lost four, with goals fairly even at 11 for and 11 against. They've handled weaker opposition comfortably, beating Timor-Leste 4-0, but they've also been exposed by stronger sides, losing 5-0 and 2-0 to Australia in World Cup qualifying.

Lebanon's heaviest defeats came against opposition well above Maldives' level, so the form gap may not be quite as wide as the raw numbers first suggest.

Comparative Team Statistics: Maldives vs Lebanon

Just one previous meeting

The only recorded meeting between these two came at the 2023 SAFF Championship, when Lebanon won 1-0. That's three years old now and came in a different competition entirely, so it doesn't carry much weight heading into this fixture.

What might shape this one

Maldives' home matches in this sample have tended to be tight and low-scoring, with draws and narrow losses rather than heavy beatings. It's their away form that's been more porous, so playing at home could help keep things closer than their overall numbers imply.

Lebanon, when facing sides nearer Maldives' level, have generally found goals, but they've also shown they can go quiet, drawing 0-0 with Palestine twice. As with most international friendlies, squad rotation and limited preparation time make it hard to say with certainty what either side will actually put out.