Inverness CT host Ayr Utd in the Scottish Championship. Both sides have had a scrappy few months, with results swinging between good runs and rough patches.
The last time these two met, back in September, it finished with a comfortable away win for Inverness. That's just one result though, and both teams' form has shifted since then.
Analysis updated .
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Home win streak versus away wobbles
Inverness have won their last three Championship home games, all by the same 2-0 scoreline. That's a tidy run and suggests they're comfortable defending a lead at their own ground.
Inverness CT: 20 completed matches; Ayr Utd: 20 completed matches.
Inverness CT
- Win
- 45% 9 / 20
- Draw
- 25% 5 / 20
- Loss
- 30% 6 / 20
- Scored
- 28
- Conceded
- 25
- Difference
- +3
Ayr Utd
- Win
- 50% 10 / 20
- Draw
- 15% 3 / 20
- Loss
- 35% 7 / 20
- Scored
- 30
- Conceded
- 20
- Difference
- +10
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | Raith Rovers | Inverness CT | 24.10.2026 | 0-2 |
| Championship | Inverness CT | Arbroath | 17.10.2026 | 2-0 |
| Championship | Queen's Park | Inverness CT | 13.10.2026 | 2-1 |
| Championship | Inverness CT | Stenhousemuir | 10.10.2026 | 2-0 |
| Championship | Inverness CT | Morton | 25.09.2026 | 2-0 |
| Championship | Livingston | Inverness CT | 19.09.2026 | 2-2 |
| Championship | Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | 12.09.2026 | 1-3 |
| Championship | Inverness CT | Raith Rovers | 05.09.2026 | 0-2 |
| Championship | Stenhousemuir | Inverness CT | 29.08.2026 | 3-1 |
| Championship | Inverness CT | Partick | 21.08.2026 | 1-1 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | Ayr Utd | Partick | 16.10.2026 | 0-1 |
| Championship | Ayr Utd | Dunfermline | 10.10.2026 | 1-1 |
| Championship | Livingston | Ayr Utd | 03.10.2026 | 1-2 |
| Championship | Ayr Utd | Stenhousemuir | 25.09.2026 | 0-1 |
| Championship | Queen's Park | Ayr Utd | 18.09.2026 | 0-2 |
| Championship | Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | 12.09.2026 | 1-3 |
| Championship | Partick | Ayr Utd | 05.09.2026 | 1-0 |
| Championship | Ayr Utd | Morton | 29.08.2026 | 1-1 |
| Championship | Raith Rovers | Ayr Utd | 22.08.2026 | 2-0 |
| League Cup | Kilmarnock | Ayr Utd | 14.08.2026 | 3-2 |
Ayr Utd's form is harder to pin down. They've lost three of their last five league matches, including a home defeat to Partick, but they did win their last two games on the road.
Inverness's home reliability looks the more trustworthy pattern of the two right now.
Comparative Team Statistics: Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd
A history that's tilted recently
These two have met regularly down the years, with plenty of draws and one-goal margins either way. It's never really been a lopsided rivalry.
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | 12.09.2026 | 1-3 |
| Challenge Cup | Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | 24.02.2026 | 1-2 |
| Championship | Inverness CT | Ayr Utd | 16.03.2024 | 1-2 |
| Championship | Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | 06.01.2024 | 1-3 |
| Championship | Inverness CT | Ayr Utd | 11.11.2023 | 3-1 |
| Championship | Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | 12.08.2023 | 1-0 |
| Championship | Inverness CT | Ayr Utd | 05.05.2023 | 1-2 |
| Championship | Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | 04.03.2023 | 1-2 |
| Championship | Inverness CT | Ayr Utd | 19.11.2022 | 2-2 |
| Championship | Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | 01.10.2022 | 0-1 |
The last two meetings did go Inverness's way though, including that 3-1 win away at Ayr back in September. That's recent enough to matter, even if the wider history is closer than it suggests.
League position: a four-point gap
Inverness sit fourth with 16 points from 11 games. Ayr Utd are seventh on 12 points from the same number of matches.
| № | Team | Played | Win | Draw | Loss | GF/GA | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Partick | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 11/3 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14/11 | 16 |
| 5 | Livingston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14/11 | 14 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7/5 | 14 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10/12 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7/17 | 11 |
It's not a huge gap, but Inverness have the better points-per-game rate so far this season.
Little to go on for team news
There isn't much here beyond a yellow card picked up by Ayr Utd's J. Bonnar in his last outing. It doesn't tell us anything about who's actually available for this one.
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How this one could play out
If Inverness's home form holds, they'll look to control things the way they have in their last three at home. Ayr's away form has been better than their overall record, so they're not an easy visitor to deal with.
The recent head-to-head and the table both lean towards the home side, but Ayr's away wins show they can trouble decent opposition on the road.
Squad lists and player details
Squad and player details
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Munro | Scotland | 26 | Goalkeeper | 182 | n/a |
| L. Sole | England | 26 | Midfielder | 175 | 70 |
| Chanka Solomon Zimba | England | 24 | Midfielder | 185 | n/a |
| A. Bavidge | Scotland | 20 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| A. Stewart | Scotland | 20 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Holt | Scotland | 33 | Defender | 185 cm | n/a |
| C. Main | England | 34 | Attacker | 178 cm | 67 kg |
| D. Thomas | Scotland | 30 | Midfielder | 171 cm | 59 kg |
| J. Bonnar | Scotland | 20 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
Putting it together, Inverness look the more consistent side at the moment, especially at home. But Ayr Utd's away form and the tightness of this fixture historically make it hard to find a confident angle without clearer signals to lean on.
We'd rather sit this one out than force a pick on mixed signals.
Who will win?
