Hartlepool vs Southend Prediction

Form guide: feast for Southend, famine for Hartlepool

Southend's last 20 games have brought nine wins, seven draws and just four defeats, with 44 goals scored along the way. That's a strong return for a team in and around the promotion picture.

Hartlepool: 20 completed matches; Southend: 20 completed matches.

Hartlepool

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

0% 0 / 20

Loss

75% 15 / 20

Scored

19

Conceded

42

Difference

-23

Southend

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

45

Conceded

33

Difference

+12

Hartlepool's picture is the opposite. Just six wins from their last 20 fixtures, with 14 defeats and only 17 goals scored. They've conceded 38 in that same spell, including some chastening cup results.

Southend's attacking numbers and Hartlepool's leaky defence set up an obvious contrast heading into this one.

Comparative Team Statistics: Hartlepool vs Southend

Head-to-head: a history of tight contests

These two have faced each other ten times in the data available, and most of those games have been close. Several recent meetings finished level, including a run of low-scoring draws between 2023 and 2025.

The most recent meeting bucked that trend, though, with Hartlepool edging Southend 4-3 back in April. It's a reminder that this fixture can swing either way on the day.

League table: a clear gap between the two

Southend currently sit third with 27 points from 13 games, right in among the promotion mix. Hartlepool are down in 20th with just 12 points from the same number of matches.

That's a notable gap between two teams who've played an identical number of games this season.

It's the kind of gap that normally favours the team higher up, though a month out from kickoff there's still time for things to shift either way.

How this one could play out

Southend go into this with Hartlepool struggling at the wrong end of the table and conceding goals regularly. If that pattern holds up, there should be chances for Southend to cause problems.

But Hartlepool have shown some fight in patches, and the head-to-head history between these two has produced plenty of draws over the years. A tighter contest than the form and table suggest can't be ruled out.