Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC Prediction

Recent form: Chivas on top, Atlante treading water

Chivas' sample covers 20 matches across Liga MX, the Leagues Cup and a few friendlies. They've won seven, drawn eight and lost five, scoring 26 and conceding 20 - a decent return even with some non-league games mixed in.

Guadalajara Chivas: 20 completed matches; Atlante FC: 20 completed matches.

Guadalajara Chivas

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

29

Conceded

21

Difference

+8

Atlante FC

20 matches

Win

20% 4 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

23

Conceded

35

Difference

-12

Atlante's 20-match sample looks rougher: four wins, nine draws and seven losses, with 24 scored and 34 conceded. They're not collapsing often, but they're not winning much either.

Atlante's habit of drawing games could matter if Chivas don't find an early breakthrough.

Comparative Team Statistics: Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC

League position underlines the gap

In the league table itself, Chivas sit second after nine games, with five wins, three draws and one loss, scoring 17 and conceding just eight. Atlante are down in fourteenth, with only one win from nine games and 13 goals let in.

That's a big points gap and a defensive one too - Chivas have conceded far fewer goals than Atlante over the same number of matches.

Players and discipline to note

Atlante's J. Julio has been their main creative spark, setting up four goals in ten appearances, with Walter Portales adding two assists of his own. For Chivas, R. Marín has two assists in the same span.

Guadalajara Chivas:

Best assist providers:

R. Marín - 2

Penalty cards:

Á. Sepúlveda x 1

O. Govea x 1

Atlante FC:

Best assist providers:

J. Julio - 4

Walter Portales - 2

Penalty cards:

J. N. Carrera x 3

On discipline, Atlante's J. N. Carrera has picked up three yellows in nine matches, while Chivas have seen both Á. Sepúlveda and O. Govea sent off once each in nine games. That's a notable blip for a side sitting so high in the table.

Two red cards among regular Chivas contributors is worth keeping in mind if either features.

How this one could play out

Chivas have the stronger recent record and the healthier defensive numbers, and they'll fancy pushing Atlante back on home turf. Atlante, though, have shown they can grind out draws against decent opposition rather than fold completely.

If Chivas turn their edge into goals early, this could get away from Atlante. If not, Atlante's habit of drawing games might see them nick a point.