Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama Predictions

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Anticipate a gripping encounter in the Brazil Serie A as Gremio locks horns with Vasco DA Gama on 12.09.2026. Both teams have been consistent and are looking to outdo each other in this evenly matched game. Our analysis includes past performances, team dynamics, and players to watch. Don’t forget to check out our prediction and consider your betting options!

Standings of both teams

Key Player Statistics: Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama

Gremio:

Best scorers:

Carlos Vinícius - 10

Best assist providers:

C. Pavón - 4

Penalty cards:

Viery x 1 x 4

Injury list:

M. Monsalve

F. Amuzu

M. Braithwaite

Dodi

Marlon

J. Cabral

Vasco DA Gama:

Best assist providers:

J. Rodríguez - 4

Penalty cards:

Cauan Barros x 1 x 5

A. Gómez x 8

Thiago Mendes x 8

Injury list:

Mateus Carvalho

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama Historical Match Results

Comparative Team Statistics: Gremio VS Vasco DA Gama

Last 20 Matches Statistics: Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama

Gremio:

Win/Draw/Loss:

Win: 40%

Draw: 25%

Loss: 35%

Scored/Conceded:

Scored: 29

Conceded: 27

Vasco DA Gama:

Win/Draw/Loss:

Win: 35%

Draw: 25%

Loss: 40%

Scored/Conceded:

Scored: 23

Conceded: 26

Bookies' predictions

Win
Gremio

2.05

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Draw

3.25

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Win Vasco DA Gama

3.6

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Betting Intelligence: Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama

Two clubs scrapping to survive. That's the simple truth about this Brazil Serie A clash between Grêmio and Vasco da Gama. Both sides are deep in the danger zone, and three points here could be the difference between staying up and a relegation battle that gets very ugly, very fast.

Grêmio sit 15th with 28 points from 24 games. Vasco are even worse off — 17th, on 25 points, and leaking goals at an alarming rate. Thirty-nine conceded already this season. That's a number that should have every Vasco fan deeply worried.

Here's what you need to watch for. Don't be fooled by the mainstream narrative that this is a balanced contest. Grêmio have a clear home advantage in this fixture. Looking at the head-to-head record, when Grêmio host Vasco at home, they win. They've taken victories of 4-0, 2-0, 2-1, 1-0, and 2-1 in recent home meetings. Vasco have not won at Grêmio since 2019. That's a pattern worth respecting.

Grêmio's form hasn't been pretty. They lost 3-0 to Atlético-MG and 1-0 to RB Bragantino in back-to-back Serie A games recently. But they bounced back by thrashing Chapecoense 3-1 and then beating Internacional in the Copa do Brasil. There's life in this team. There's fight.

Vasco? They got hammered 4-1 by Palmeiras and 0-3 by Santos at home within the same month. That home 0-3 loss to Santos is genuinely shocking for a side fighting relegation. Their defensive numbers are catastrophic and their discipline is a problem. Thiago Mendes has already collected eight yellow cards in 21 games. A. Gómez has seven. Cauan Barros has five yellows and a red. This team plays on the edge, and it regularly gets burned.

I'll be bold here — back Grêmio to win and bet on both teams to score as a side market. Grêmio's home record against Vasco is commanding, but Vasco have enough attacking intent to nick one, even in defeat. Their Copa do Brasil win over Vitória showed they can create when pressure is off.

Also worth noting — with Grêmio missing Dodi and Marlon, and Vasco carrying only one doubtful player in Mateus Carvalho, Vasco might have a rare fitness edge. But their defensive chaos will cost them again.

My prediction: Grêmio 2-1 Vasco da Gama. The hosts protect their fortress, Vasco score a consolation, and the relegation battle gets even tighter. One of Brazilian football's most pressurised fixtures. I genuinely cannot wait.

What's Your Pick?

Gremio

Brazil Serie A

12.09.2026    20:00

Vasco DA Gama



Gremio

Draw

Vasco DA Gama

Gremio (0%)

Draw (0%)

Vasco DA Gama (0%)

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Our Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama betting prediction

Result draw

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Total Over (1.5)

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Team Lineups and Player Details:

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama match odds

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Richard G. Abram

Author

Last updated: September 2026