Derby vs Watford Prediction

Two sides short on consistency

Derby's recent run shows three wins, five draws and twelve losses from their last 20 matches across competitions, with 20 scored and 33 conceded. That draw count stands out, and losses to West Brom, West Ham and Swansea show they're conceding more than they're creating in some games, even if a 4-1 win over QPR and a point at Sheffield United suggest they're not always second best.

Derby: 20 completed matches; Watford: 20 completed matches.

Derby

20 matches

Win

15% 3 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

60% 12 / 20

Scored

20

Conceded

33

Difference

-13

Watford

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

60% 12 / 20

Scored

19

Conceded

39

Difference

-20

Watford's sample over the same stretch reads five wins, three draws and twelve losses, with 19 goals for and 39 against. The swings are notable: a 5-1 win at Cardiff and a 2-0 away win at Charlton sit alongside a 0-4 home defeat to Burnley and a 1-5 League Cup loss. It's a team capable of scoring freely but also prone to conceding in bunches.

Neither team has shown the kind of steady form that makes them an obvious pick on current evidence.

Comparative Team Statistics: Derby vs Watford

A head-to-head with no clear pattern

The recent meetings between these two have gone back and forth. Watford won 2-0 at home in February 2026, Derby won 3-2 at home in November 2025, and Derby won 2-0 at home in January 2025. Going further back there's a similar mix of home and away wins, with no long streak either way.

It's not a fixture history that points strongly in one direction, and given how long ago some of these results are, they say more about variance than about current form.

Both clubs deep in the bottom end

Derby sit 23rd with 6 points from 11 games, having won just once. Watford are 20th with 11 points from the same number of matches, five places and five points better off. Neither position suggests a side in good shape right now.

Goal difference tells a similar story for both: Watford have scored 10 and conceded 19, Derby have scored 9 and conceded 20. It's a tight picture at the wrong end of the table.

Players to keep an eye on

Amin Nabizada has been Watford's main source of goals, with 3 in 8 matches, and he's also picked up the most cards in the squad over that span. He looks like the player most likely to influence a Watford attack that can be sporadic.

Derby:

Best assist providers:

B. Clark - 2

Watford:

Best scorers:

Amin Nabizada - 3

Penalty cards:

Amin Nabizada x 3

For Derby, B. Clark leads the way creatively with 2 assists in 8 matches, which hints he's one of the more involved players in a side that's struggled to create regularly.