Brentford vs Arsenal Prediction

Form guide

Arsenal's last five outings have gone win, draw, win, draw, win, with the two draws coming in cup and Champions League action rather than the league. That's a side that hasn't lost in its recent sample.

Brentford: 20 completed matches; Arsenal: 20 completed matches.

Brentford

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

44

Conceded

24

Difference

+20

Arsenal

20 matches

Win

70% 14 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

19

Difference

+19

Brentford's last five have been far choppier: a home win over Nottingham Forest, a League Cup loss at Sunderland, a draw at Hull, a home defeat to Liverpool and a draw at Aston Villa. Plenty of points dropped in games they might have expected to win or at least not lose.

Arsenal arrive with the steadier recent record of the two sides.

Comparative Team Statistics: Brentford vs Arsenal

Head-to-head

These two have met a dozen times in the recent record, and it's not been one-way traffic. Brentford have beaten Arsenal at home before, including a 3-0 and a 2-0, plus a League Cup win, so there's a pattern of this fixture being tougher for Arsenal than their overall quality might suggest.

More recently though, Arsenal won 2-0 at Brentford in December and the reverse fixture in February finished level. The head-to-head sample mixes different Arsenal and Brentford squads across several seasons, so it's background colour rather than a guide to current form.

Where they sit

Arsenal are second with 21 points from eight games, built on seven wins and just one defeat. Brentford sit sixth with 14 points from nine games, a record built more on draws than wins, five of their nine results level.

That gap in the table lines up with what the recent form shows: Arsenal winning more often and conceding less, Brentford grinding out points rather than running away with matches.

Players to watch

Kevin Schade has three goals in his last five matches for Brentford, a decent return and a sign he's Brentford's main outlet going forward. Bukayo Saka matches that with three goals in five for Arsenal, while Declan Rice and Riccardo Calafiori have each chipped in two assists in the same span.

Brentford:

Best scorers:

K. Schade - 3

Penalty cards:

V. Janelt x 3

M. Sangaré x 2

Thiago x 2

Arsenal:

Best scorers:

B. Saka - 3

Best assist providers:

D. Rice - 2

R. Calafiori - 2

Penalty cards:

C. Tzolis x 2

On the disciplinary side, Brentford's Vitaly Janelt and Mikkel Sangaré have picked up yellow cards recently, as has Arsenal's Christos Tzolis. Nothing here points to suspensions, just a note on who's been booked lately.