Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz Prediction

How both sides have been going

Sturm Graz's numbers stand out on paper: 40 goals scored against 23 conceded across their last 20 matches, with 11 wins to just 5 defeats. That sample includes a big away win over Red Bull Salzburg, but also home league defeats to Hartberg and a loss at Rapid Vienna, so the level has bounced around.

Austria Lustenau: 20 completed matches; Sturm Graz: 20 completed matches.

Austria Lustenau

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

26

Difference

+6

Sturm Graz

20 matches

Win

60% 12 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

36

Conceded

19

Difference

+17

Austria Lustenau's record over the same stretch is more middling, 8 wins from 20 with 7 losses and 5 draws. Their last outing was a heavy 2-6 cup defeat to SV Lafnitz, though before that they'd strung together Bundesliga wins over Wolfsberger and Grazer AK.

Neither team is arriving with settled momentum, so recent results only tell part of the story.

Comparative Team Statistics: Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz

What's happened between them before

The two sides have met six times on record, and the most recent meeting in August ended 1-1 at Sturm Graz. Before that the head-to-head has gone both ways, with a couple of wins apiece in the Bundesliga over the past few seasons.

There's also an old cup meeting from 2013 where Sturm Graz won heavily away from home, though that's too far back to say much about current form.

The recent head-to-head record is tight rather than one-sided.

A cup rematch with the venue reversed

These two already played out a draw in the league just a couple of months ago, and now they meet again in the cup with home advantage switched to Lustenau. That kind of quick turnaround between the same opponents can sometimes flatten out surprises, since both sides know what to expect from each other.

Cup football also tends to bring its own uncertainty, and without confirmed team news it's hard to say how either side will set up or who might be rested.