Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon Prediction

Form heading into this one

Atletico Independiente have won just two of their last eight matches, with a heavy 0-4 defeat away at Olimpia among the low points, plus that home loss to Marathon back in August. There have been three draws in the same spell too, so results have been hard to come by either way.

Atletico Independiente: 9 completed matches; CD Marathon: 20 completed matches.

Atletico Independiente

9 matches

Win

22.2% 2 / 9

Draw

44.4% 4 / 9

Loss

33.3% 3 / 9

Scored

8

Conceded

12

Difference

-4

CD Marathon

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

28

Conceded

15

Difference

+13

Marathon's sample covers more games across two competitions, and overall it's a healthier picture: nine wins, seven draws and just four losses from twenty matches, with 27 goals scored. That said, their two most recent outings were both defeats, losing 3-2 away at Juticalpa and 3-1 away at Alajuelense in continental football, so the very latest form is shakier than the bigger sample suggests.

Marathon's overall numbers are much stronger, though their last couple of matches have dipped.

Comparative Team Statistics: Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon

One recent meeting

These two have just a single recorded meeting, back in August, when Marathon won 1-0 on their own ground. It doesn't tell us a great deal on its own, and the venue swaps around for this one, with Atletico Independiente now the home side.

League gap

Marathon sit third with 17 points from eight games, having won five, drawn two and lost only once. Atletico Independiente are well below them in eighth on nine points, with just two wins in the same number of matches. Marathon have also conceded far less, six goals against compared to Atletico Independiente's eleven.

That tighter defensive record for Marathon lines up with their higher league position.

Messiniti's big afternoon

The player detail we have points to Marathon's N. Messiniti, who's scored three goals and added an assist in a single match, a big haul that likely came during that 5-0 win over Estrella Roja earlier this month. There's no comparable player information available for Atletico Independiente.

CD Marathon:

Best scorers:

N. Messiniti - 3

Best assist providers:

N. Messiniti - 1

How this could play out

Marathon go in with the stronger league position, a tighter defence, and a previous win over this opponent already banked this season. Atletico Independiente's own defence has looked open, shipping eleven goals in eight games, and they've won only twice since August.

At the same time, Marathon haven't been at their sharpest lately, losing their last two matches on the road. That takes a little shine off the table gap and leaves some genuine uncertainty about which version of Marathon turns up.