Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty Prediction

How each side has been playing

Atalanta's last twenty matches read as eight wins, five draws and seven losses, with 25 scored and 21 conceded. That's a fairly even spread, but the pattern towards the end of the sample is worrying: they lost three competitive games in a row in September, to Juventus, Cagliari and Roma, before this run of fixtures. Earlier in the sample they strung together wins over Bologna, Sassuolo and a draw with Hapoel Tel Aviv, so form has gone up and down rather than trending one way.

Atalanta: 20 completed matches; Kairat Almaty: 20 completed matches.

Atalanta

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

28

Conceded

22

Difference

+6

Kairat Almaty

20 matches

Win

60% 12 / 20

Draw

5% 1 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

20

Difference

+12

Kairat Almaty's record looks sharper on paper: thirteen wins and seven losses, no draws at all, and 37 goals scored against 21 conceded. Most of that comes from dominant performances in the Kazakhstan Premier League, including a 5-0 and a couple of 3-0s. But their two most recent matches before this one were both losses, a 1-0 away defeat to Astana and a 1-4 home beating by Tobol Kostanay, so the dip has come at an awkward time.

Neither team is arriving with real momentum behind them right now.

Comparative Team Statistics: Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty

What kind of game this could be

Kairat's European results this year have been boom or bust. They beat Anderlecht 3-0 away but lost the home leg 0-3, and in their Champions League qualifying run they won and lost by identical 1-0 scorelines against both Levski Sofia and Omonia Nicosia, home and away. That suggests they can swing wildly depending on the night, rather than being reliably strong or weak in continental football.

Atalanta's matches, by contrast, have mostly been tight. A lot of their results in this sample are 1-0s, 2-1s or goalless draws, which points to low-scoring, closely fought games rather than one-sided ones. Put the two patterns together and this has the look of a fixture that could go either way, with goals not guaranteed just because Kairat can score heavily in their own league.