Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips

Very different recent runs

Manchester City's last 20 matches across all competitions make for strong reading: 15 wins, only two defeats, and 44 goals scored in that spell. Aston Villa's equivalent run is far patchier, with as many losses as wins, though that sample mixes Premier League games with cup ties and pre-season friendlies rather than being pure league form.

Aston Villa: 20 completed matches; Manchester City: 20 completed matches.

Aston Villa

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

40

Conceded

32

Difference

+8

Manchester City

20 matches

Win

75% 15 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

10% 2 / 20

Scored

44

Conceded

19

Difference

+25

City look the more settled side by almost any measure right now.

Comparative Team Statistics: Aston Villa vs Manchester City

History favours City, recent meetings don't

Over the last decade City have beaten Villa far more often than not, including some heavy scorelines. Narrow it down to the last four meetings, though, and Villa have actually won three of them, doing it both at home and away.

Villa clearly know how to raise their game against this particular opponent.

A big gap in the table

Manchester City are top of the Premier League, unbeaten so far and conceding very little. Aston Villa sit much further down, with only one win from their opening five games and more goals conceded than scored.

That gap in league position underlines just how differently these two campaigns have started.

Haaland leading the line, a red card note for Villa

Erling Haaland has been prolific lately, scoring five goals in his last five appearances, with Cherki and Semenyo also chipping in with goals and assists for City. For Villa, John McGinn has provided a couple of assists, but the same sample shows a red card for João Gomes in just two matches, which is worth flagging even though kickoff is still some weeks away and nothing here confirms his availability.

Aston Villa:

Best assist providers:

J. McGinn - 2

Penalty cards:

João Gomes x 1 x 1

J. McGinn x 2

Manchester City:

Best scorers:

E. Haaland - 5

R. Cherki - 3

A. Semenyo - 2

Best assist providers:

A. Semenyo - 3

R. Cherki - 2

J. Gvardiol - 2

Penalty cards:

P. Foden x 1 x 1

With City's attackers scoring so freely, Villa's defensive discipline will matter a lot.