Alpendorada vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips

Contrasting form lines

Casa Pia's last 20 matches make for grim reading if you're judging them as a Primeira Liga club. Four wins, five draws and eleven losses, with 33 goals conceded against just 14 scored. There's a 0-7 defeat to Benfica and a 1-4 loss to Porto in there, which tells you defensively things have been leaking badly.

Alpendorada: 20 completed matches; Casa Pia: 20 completed matches.

Alpendorada

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

26

Conceded

23

Difference

+3

Casa Pia

20 matches

Win

20% 4 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

55% 11 / 20

Scored

14

Conceded

33

Difference

-19

Alpendorada, playing mostly in the Campeonato de Portugal, have a steadier profile. Six wins, seven draws and seven losses from 20, with goals roughly balanced at 26 for and 23 against. Nothing spectacular, but a club holding its shape at its own level.

Casa Pia's league level is higher, but their recent results don't show a side brimming with confidence right now.

One previous meeting, in this same competition

The only recorded meeting between these two came in last season's Taça de Portugal, when Casa Pia won 3-0 away at Alpendorada. It's a single data point from a different squad situation nearly a year on, so it shouldn't carry too much weight, but it's the only direct comparison we have.

Cup form versus league level

Cup ties like this often come down to who turns up sharper on the day rather than who sits higher in the pyramid. Casa Pia's Primeira Liga struggles suggest a side low on confidence, and that can spill into cup performances too. Alpendorada, by contrast, look like a team that knows how to grind out results at their own level, even if that level is well below the top flight.

The previous meeting between these sides went comfortably to Casa Pia, so there's precedent for the gap in quality showing up on the scoreboard. Whether that repeats depends on how much Casa Pia's poor domestic form has actually eroded their overall level, which the numbers alone can't fully answer.

Neither team's current shape points to an obviously one-sided contest, even accounting for the divisional gap.