Almeria vs Malaga Predictions

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The excitement builds as Almeria and Malaga prepare to compete in the Spain Segunda Division on 20.06.2026. This match is a highlight of the season, with both teams closely matched in skill and determination. Explore our expert analysis detailing the strengths and weaknesses of Almeria and Malaga, complete with past performance statistics and player highlights. Our prediction could be the key to your next successful bet—don't overlook it!

Standings of both teams

Key Player Statistics: Almeria vs Malaga

Almeria:

Best scorers:

Sergio Arribas - 26

Adri Embarba - 16

Best assist providers:

Adri Embarba - 10

Sergio Arribas - 7

Penalty cards:

D. Lopy x 2 x 11

Álex Muñoz x 14

Malaga:

Best scorers:

Chupe - 24

David Larrubia - 11

Adrián Niño Heredia - 11

Penalty cards:

Diego Murillo x 1 x 10

Almeria vs Malaga Historical Match Results

Comparative Team Statistics: Almeria VS Malaga

Last 20 Matches Statistics: Almeria vs Malaga

Almeria:

Win/Draw/Loss:

Win: 55%

Draw: 20%

Loss: 25%

Scored/Conceded:

Scored: 38

Conceded: 30

Malaga:

Win/Draw/Loss:

Win: 50%

Draw: 35%

Loss: 15%

Scored/Conceded:

Scored: 39

Conceded: 24

Bookies' predictions

Win
Almeria

2.06

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Draw

3.4

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Win Malaga

3.4

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Betting Intelligence: Almeria vs Malaga

One point. That's all that separates these two Andalusian rivals as they prepare to meet in what could be the most important game of their entire season. Almeria sit third with 74 points, Malaga just behind in fourth with 73. The stakes couldn't be higher in Spain's Segunda División.

This isn't just a derby. It's a promotion playoff decider dressed up as a league fixture.

Here's what you need to watch for. Almeria come into this as the bookmakers' narrow favourites at 2.04, and honestly, I think that's fair. At home, they've been genuinely dangerous all season. Their 81 league goals tell you everything — this is a team that attacks with real conviction. Sergio Arribas has been sensational with 26 goals in 45 appearances, and his partnership with Adri Embarba, who has added 16 goals and 10 assists, gives Almeria a creative engine that most sides in this division simply can't match.

Don't be fooled by the mainstream narrative that Malaga are the safer, more conservative side just because they've conceded fewer goals — just 52 all season compared to Almeria's 63. Malaga can absolutely hurt you. Chupe has quietly put together one of the best individual campaigns in the division with 24 goals, and he'll be licking his lips against an Almeria backline that has shown vulnerabilities throughout the year.

The head-to-head record leans Almeria's way at home. They won 3-2 here back in April and earlier beat Malaga 3-1 and 2-0 in previous home meetings. Malaga have struggled to get results at the Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos in recent years. That pattern matters.

Here's a less obvious detail that caught my eye. Malaga have drawn five of their last ten league games, including a 1-1 in their most recent away fixture. They defend well but can lack the killer instinct on the road. The Draw at 3.50 is genuinely tempting for value seekers, but I wouldn't back it here.

My bold prediction? Almeria win 2-1, with Arribas on the scoresheet. The Both Teams to Score market at likely short odds is the smart play given both sides' attacking records. I'd also look at Almeria to win and BTTS as a combined bet — it fits the profile of every recent meeting between these two perfectly.

Two clubs. One point between them. Everything on the line under the Andalusian sun. This is exactly why we love football.

What's Your Pick?

Almeria

Spain Segunda Division

20.06.2026    20:00

Malaga



Almeria

Draw

Malaga

Almeria (0%)

Draw (0%)

Malaga (0%)

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Our Almeria vs Malaga betting prediction

Result draw

3.4 х

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Handicap Almeria (0)

1.50 х

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Total Under (3.5)

1.38 х

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Team Lineups and Player Details:

Almeria vs Malaga match odds

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Richard G. Abram

Author

Last updated: June 2026