Airbus UK host The New Saints in the Welsh Cup. The visitors have been enjoying a particularly strong run of form lately, while Airbus UK have had a more mixed year with wins and losses evenly split.
The two sides actually met in the league just last month, which gives us a recent and fairly specific reference point before we get into the wider picture.
Analysis updated .
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Form check: contrasting runs
The New Saints have won 15 of their last 20 matches, drawing two and losing just three, with 50 goals scored against only 13 conceded. That sample includes European qualifying ties and a thumping 9-0 at home, so there's real quality running through it.
What could your bet return?
Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.
Airbus UK: 20 completed matches; The New Saints: 20 completed matches.
Airbus UK
- Win
- 65% 13 / 20
- Draw
- 0% 0 / 20
- Loss
- 35% 7 / 20
- Scored
- 50
- Conceded
- 25
- Difference
- +25
The New Saints
- Win
- 75% 15 / 20
- Draw
- 10% 2 / 20
- Loss
- 15% 3 / 20
- Scored
- 50
- Conceded
- 13
- Difference
- +37
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | Llandudno | Airbus UK | 09.10.2026 | 1-4 |
| Premier League | Airbus UK | Trefelin | 03.10.2026 | 3-0 |
| Premier League | Penybont | Airbus UK | 26.09.2026 | 2-1 |
| Premier League | Airbus UK | Flint Town United | 18.09.2026 | 4-1 |
| Premier League | GAP Connah S Quay FC | Airbus UK | 15.09.2026 | 3-0 |
| Premier League | Airbus UK | The New Saints | 11.09.2026 | 0-2 |
| Premier League | Briton Ferry | Airbus UK | 04.09.2026 | 0-2 |
| Premier League | Airbus UK | Holywell | 31.08.2026 | 6-2 |
| Premier League | Barry Town | Airbus UK | 28.08.2026 | 4-2 |
| Premier League | Colwyn Bay | Airbus UK | 21.08.2026 | 1-0 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | Holywell | The New Saints | 09.10.2026 | 1-6 |
| Premier League | The New Saints | Cambrian & Clydach | 03.10.2026 | 9-0 |
| Premier League | Trefelin | The New Saints | 26.09.2026 | 1-3 |
| Premier League | The New Saints | Llandudno | 19.09.2026 | 2-1 |
| Premier League | The New Saints | Flint Town United | 15.09.2026 | 5-0 |
| Premier League | Airbus UK | The New Saints | 11.09.2026 | 0-2 |
| Premier League | The New Saints | Barry Town | 05.09.2026 | 1-0 |
| Premier League | Caernarfon Town | The New Saints | 31.08.2026 | 2-3 |
| Premier League | The New Saints | Colwyn Bay | 28.08.2026 | 5-1 |
| Premier League | Cardiff MET | The New Saints | 21.08.2026 | 0-5 |
Airbus UK have also scored plenty, 50 goals in their own 20 matches, but they've lost seven times and never drawn once in that run. Their goals against column sits at 25, noticeably higher than their opponents', which points to a side that can be got at defensively even when they're scoring freely themselves.
New Saints look tighter at the back, which matters against a side that leaks goals.
A lopsided recent history
These two met in the league barely a month before this fixture, and The New Saints won 2-0 away from home. That's the most relevant data point here given how recent it is.
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | Airbus UK | The New Saints | 11.09.2026 | 0-2 |
| League Cup | The New Saints | Airbus UK | 02.08.2025 | 7-1 |
| Welsh Cup | The New Saints | Airbus UK | 15.02.2025 | 5-0 |
| League Cup | Airbus UK | The New Saints | 17.09.2024 | 0-1 |
| Premier League | Airbus UK | The New Saints | 31.12.2022 | 0-8 |
| Premier League | The New Saints | Airbus UK | 26.12.2022 | 7-0 |
| Premier League | Airbus UK | The New Saints | 30.11.2019 | 0-12 |
| Premier League | The New Saints | Airbus UK | 12.10.2019 | 6-2 |
| Welsh Cup | Airbus UK | The New Saints | 26.01.2019 | 2-5 |
| Premier League | The New Saints | Airbus UK | 25.11.2016 | 4-0 |
Zoom out further and the pattern holds. Recent meetings across cup and league competition have swung heavily toward The New Saints, including some very one-sided scorelines in both directions historically, though Airbus UK have managed the occasional win, such as a 1-0 League Cup success in 2024.
The weight of head-to-head history clearly favours the visitors, even allowing for the odd shock result.

How this Welsh Cup tie might play out
This is a cup match rather than a league fixture, so normal form lines don't always translate directly, especially with rotation or squad rotation possible in a competition like this. Still, the underlying numbers line up with recent head-to-head trends rather than against them.
Airbus UK's goal tally shows they're not toothless going forward, and at home they'll fancy their chances of testing a New Saints defence that's had to deal with a mix of domestic and continental opposition recently. The question is whether their leaky defensive record catches up with them again.
Match odds and squad lists
Squad and player details
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Williams | England | 33 | Attacker | 184 | 72 |
| R. Brobbel | Northern Ireland | 33 | Midfielder | 176 | 74 |
| B. Clark | England | 26 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| D. Redmond | England | 35 | Midfielder | 175 | n/a |
| L. Smith | Wales | 28 | Midfielder | 179 | 70 |
| D. Davies | Wales | 31 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| D. Simeu | England | 24 | Defender | 186 cm | 83 kg |
| R. Hughes | Wales | 25 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| D. Williams | Wales | 25 | Defender | 172 | n/a |
| Eoin Farrell | Republic of Ireland | 24 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Harvey George Godsmark-Ford | England | 23 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| D. Corness | England | 23 | Midfielder | 174 | 62 |
| Jack Richard Nadin | England | 21 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| B. Woollam | England | 21 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| Isaac Jefferies | England | 21 | Midfielder | 171 | n/a |
| Z. Nolan | Republic of Ireland | 21 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Daniel Barton | England | 21 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
Taken together, the form and history both point the same way, toward The New Saints having the stronger hand coming into this one. That's a reasonable read of the evidence rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Without a market to weigh up, there's no sensible pick to make here. The analytical picture favours the visitors, but we'd rather set out the reasoning than force a selection that isn't actually on offer.
